So what do new Herman Cain allegations, stories about Barack Obama’s sexual proclivities and the Mitt Romney campaign have in common? It’s a combination of what Romney needs, Obama doesn’t want and h0w to get one guy elected when he and his potential opponent are nearly identical.
The so-called “Alinsky” rules for radicals say to project your secrets onto your opponents to immunize yourself. I became aware of Barack Obama and the 2004 Senate Race because of mysteriously unsealed divorce records between Republican Jack Ryan and his ex-wife, actress Jeri Ryan. The now relatively tame stories of him bringing his wife to sex clubs was part of a divorce case that made it into the press, effectively ending his campaign. His replacement, Alan Keyes, was no threat to the Democrats, but his daughter was outed as gay by the Obama campaign in what could be considered a wholly capricious act.
2004 was a bad year for Democrats. The open Illinois Senate seat was one of the few that the party won that year. It made him an instant rising star. The irony is that Obama’s past was so shady, there was little to actually use to draw a time line. There were basic questions, like what grades did he get in college, something all candidates were asked, down to ones like if he went to a madrassa in Indonesia. The campaign would take all of these questions, ignore the worthy ones and amplify the ridiculous charges. To this day, Tweety says people who want to see Obama’s Harvard or Occidental transcripts to be “birthers.” Really? Was he born inside a college?
The Herman Cain campaign has been trying to pin the increasingly thin harassment story on a Republican machine. I think this is more likely than an early attempt by the Obama campaign to stop someone who will make Obama look like a competent policy wonk by comparison. The Romney campaign is already thinking about the VP slot, and Cain isn’t on the list. Rick Perry will be if he can knock Cain off. Even Michele Bachmann could get there if she’s the one to take Cain down.
I am relatively sure if Romney gets the nomination, he will play dirty enough to get the rumors from the Hillbuzz story about “Man’s Country” and Obama’s fetish for old white guys to surface. The Enquirer is a legitimate pipeline now. I think it will have surprisingly little effect on the Democratic vote. Obama would be prepared to play the McGreevy “gay American” card with Michelle standing by his side if need be. Mostly, it will lead to the hellfire of anti-Mormon sentiment.
The Romney campaign would actually need to play the long game here. Immorality charges against Obama could potentially bring back Republicans disgruntled by a Romney nomination. 2012 has the signs of being a very polarized election and turnout of one side would be key. Unfortunately, the Republican establishment may have an effective strategy. 2010 indicates that the establishment and not the Tea Party are the crybabies who don’t vote when they don’t get their way. No matter what they might say about Obama if Romney wins the nomination, they’d still prefer Obama win than Herman Cain.