The Trump Debate

Inexplicable candidate Jon Huntsman will debate Newt Gingrich, Lincoln-Douglas style, in New Hampshire this month. He will not, however, attend Donald Trump’s inexplicable debate just before the Iowa caucuses. Whatever I think of Huntsman, he made the right choice.

For Huntsman, debates have been an exercise in futility. The current front-runner, the previous frontrunner and Romney generally get the attention from the media. A one-on-one debate with the current frontrunner is the kind of attention Huntsman needs. Plus, Newt will debate anyone at any time. He loves to talk about anything.

Trump will moderate a debate on the ION network. This is a series of affiliates who used to air family friendly programming, but is now reduced to airing second-hand reruns. Right now, they’re showing an old Criminal Minds episode. I suppose this is good publicity for ION, since very few people know what it is. It’s like that debate Bloomberg Information Television almost no one could see.

I see this as a sort of dividing line. If you have a chance as a candidate, you really need to skip this debate. If you just want to be on TV, go ahead. I hope you like your portrayal on Saturday Night Live a few days later. Romney may drop out. He couldn’t even handle a Fox News interview. I can’t imagine what sparring with Trump will be like. Perry should drop out of the race, but definitely the debate. I know Gingrich will show up. I don’t think Cain will be a factor by next week.

Maybe we’ll end up with a debate between Rick Santorum, Michele Bachmann, Gary Johnson, Buddy Roemer and whomever else I’m forgetting. It would also be a good place to air a draft Sarah Palin ad.

Give Fido a Merry Christmas


Is your dog an Arkansas Leg Hound? Does he behave like an Obot whenever guests drop by? Has he been rogering your daughter’s stuffed animals?

Get him the gift that keeps on giving:

HotDoll – Love Doll for Dogs by Clement Eloy

A dog is an animal with an enormous sexual appetite which can’t be controlled. Many methods consist in artificial ways to stop dogs inborn character. These methods like castration or meds are going against the nature laws. Hotdoll is a natural (and beneficial for dog’s health) way to control its sexual impulses. This love doll for dogs is shaped to be grabbed easily by the dog’s paws like female hips. Hotdoll is designed in 2 sizes to be used by little dogs and by big ones! Its contrasted colors are made to be easily distinguished by dog’s eyes. The body is made by a plastic structure covered with a 1 cm technogel skin to create a soft touch. All orange parts are made of rubber, that way the doll grips on the floor. The pink hole needs to be washed regularly for hygienic reasons.

But wait! There’s more!:

Order today and receive a bonus gift for that special relative:



(This is an open thread)


Flavor of the Month

"My middle name isn't Hubris, it's Leroy"


I despise Newton Gingrinch, but I despise this kind of crap too:

Gingrich’s grim ground game

For all the talk about Newt Gingrich and his grand, big ideas — most of which are neither big nor grand — a vision doesn’t get voters to the polls; a campaign ground game does.

There’s a reasonable debate underway in many circles as to whether Gingrich’s recent rise is meaningful, a mirage, or a miracle — or perhaps some combination therein — and for what it’s worth, count me among the skeptics who still find it very hard to believe the disgraced former House Speaker is the likely nominee. But one of the factors driving my doubts is the fact that Gingrich’s entire campaign lacks basic, necessary components.

In an embarrassing display of organizational weakness, for example, Gingrich recently failed to qualify for the ballot in Missouri’s primary. The campaign structure, such as it is, simply didn’t follow through. Similarly, the Gingrich team was supposed to provide New Hampshire officials with a list of 40 committee volunteers who would represent the campaign as Republican National Convention delegates — but Gingrich’s staff couldn’t track down 40 willing supporters. Instead, they submitted a hand-scrawled, typo-ridden list of 27 people.

[...]

And there’s Iowa, where Gingrich is considered a very strong contender, despite the fact that he opened his very first campaign office in the state this week, just five weeks before the Iowa caucuses.

What’s going on? Politico reports that Gingrich has a “skeletal campaign operation,” which resembles a “mom-and-pop political operation.”

[...]

And if Gingrich somehow manages to do well despite the bare-bones operations in the early nominating states, how will the campaign manage once the race becomes a national contest against the well-organized Romney team? Neither Gingrich nor his aides have the foggiest idea.

Independent of whether Gingrich self-destructs and destroys his own chances, if his campaign falters down the stretch, this is likely to be a key reason why.


If Steve Benen wants to spend his career as a party hack, he’s on the right track. If he wants to be a journalist instead of a journolista, he needs to be more professional.

It is not the media’s job to be gatekeepers of our elections. It isn’t up to them who gets to be a candidate. First it was Palin, then Bachmann, Perry, Cain and now Gingrich. As each one rose in the polls the journolistas swarmed to drag them down, leaving Obama’s preferred opponent (Romney) alone.

I find it ironic that the same people who praised Obama for his use of the internet and who decry the role of money in politics are criticizing someone who is campaigning on a shoestring and doing it effectively.

What Newt has done in this campaign is similar to what I envisioned Sarah Palin doing – using debates and free media to move into the front of the pack. It should be a blueprint for candidates we like and support.

There is a ton of stuff to use against Gingrinch. This isn’t it.

BTW – I saw something recently where someone referred to Gingrinch as the latest “Flavor of the Month,” and someone retorted that this is the month you want to be Flavor of the Month.

It doesn’t matter who was leading the pack back in June. It’s a turtle race.

I bet those Newt staffers that bailed on him to work for Rick Perry are feeling pretty stupid right now.


Divide and conquer


Let’s say you live in a state that is 60% white, 30% black and 10% Hispanic. If you were in charge of desegregating your state’s schools you would probably want every classroom to reflect that racial balance.

But if you were in charge of reapportionament/redistricting, that same racial breakdown in each district would probably violate the Voting Rights Act.

Every ten years we have a census, and that census is used to apportion congressional seats among the states. Every state gets at least three (2 senators and a Representative) but some states get more. California currently has 55 which was no change after the 2010 census, while Texas has 35 (+3) and New York has 27 (-2). Seven states have the minimum.

Two things affect reapportionment – population growth and interstate migration. The recent trend has been for people to move south and west, away from the frozen rust-belt.

Following reapportionment the states (other than the seven with the minimum) have to redraw districts that are approximately equal in population. Because some areas have denser population than others some districts are small in size and others fairly large.

The two main issues on redistricting have to do with party affiliation and race. Let’s go back to that hypothetical state and say that it is 55% Republican and 45% Democrat with 10 House seats. If, as would be expected, the GOP controls the state government, they could try to craft 10 congressional districts that all had a majority of Republicans.

Needless to say, the Democrats would not be pleased about that. But in real life people don’t live evenly spread out – some areas will be heavily GOP while others are heavily Democratic. If the districts were divvied-up fairly, the GOP would get five, the Democrats would get one four and the last one would be about 50/50.

But it’s not that simple, especially in the south. Once upon a time the southern segregationists used gerrymandering to dilute the votes of black people among majority-white districts, thus preventing them from winning elections.

So now they have to do the opposite – create “majority-minority” districts where a person of color is almost certain to win. So now our hypothetical state is ideally arranged so that 3 districts are majority black, one is majority Hispanic, and the others overwhelmingly white.

But wait! There’s more! There are other rules that say districts have to be contiguous, should utilize existing boundaries and should not unnecessarily divide communities and/or neighborhoods.

Add to this the fact that people in power like to stay there, leading to the creation of “safe seats” for party leaders on both sides. Put it all together and you’ll see why redistricting is a guaranteed headache and a series of lawsuits every ten years.

Next year’s election will be the first using the 2010 reapportionment. But not all states have settled their redistricting issues. Some of those issues might not be settled for years.

My own two-faced back-stabbing Representative (Dennis Cardoza) got his comeuppance for betraying Hillary when his former district was divided into two Republican districts. He decided to retire, and we will soon have the first GOP representative for this area since . . . ever. Buh-bye blue dog, hello elephant.



Sarah Palin stirs the pot


Governor Sarah Palin was on Hannity last night where she was asked  a leading question about political correctness and Herman Cain.
Her answer on Cain – character counts. If the accusations, of “screwing around on his wife, giving money to some broad unbeknownst to his wife” are false, then “the false accuser is really despicable.” If they are true then “boys will be boys” but they should not be running the country.

Then Hannity asks her opinion on Newt vs Mitt.
She blows the question off and says they need to focus on sudden and relentless reform and clean up Congress and getting the country back on the right track.

Hannity asks if she is leaning towards endorsing anyone:
She tries to blow this off also, basically calling herself a pundit whose endorsement has minimal impact. When pressed she enumerates her ideal candidate – “he who articulates best he being the antithesis of Barack Obama.” Someone who can promise what he has a record of doing – don’t let anyone get away with saying they cut budgets when they just reined in expansion (seemed like it was directed at congress critters).

Hannity tries to get her back to Mitt vs Newt and she says it is not yet down to the two of them.
She brings up Rick Santorum and said he has ideological consistency in having a hardline against Iran, in being pro-life, and in saying we must slash federal income tax. Then she say “I say we do away with it altogether.”*

Persistent Hannity asks her to bring up the top 3 strengths and weaknesses of Mitt & Newt and she says they all have strengths and all are better than Obama, including Ron Paul with his domestic agenda although she doesn’t like his foreign policy, and Rick Perry with 2nd Amendment defense which shows he isn a constitutional conservative. All of them are better than Obama (but apparently, Bachmann and Huntsman are not to be enumerated. Ha ha ha).

Hannity finally gives up on Newt vs Mitt and asks her if she regrets not being in. She says “noo” slowly, as if it’s not something she’s totally convinced of, then says she has fire in the belly to reform the country however she can and at the end of the day it will be about backing a constitutional conservative and making them hold to their promises.

My conclusion: Sarah is not happy to have a Newt vs Mitt race and wants some Newties to go to either Santorum, Paul, or Perry. Either she really prefers even Ron Paul to Newt or she is looking for a long, contested, and divided primary.

Divide et impera!

Grainy video here, better (but unembeddable) video at C4P.

*She clarifies that later in this tweet, that she means Federal corporate income tax.

This is not an Onion parody

Saudis fear there will be ‘no more virgins’ and people will turn gay if female drive ban is lifted

Repealing a ban on women drivers in Saudi Arabia would result in ‘no more virgins’, the country’s religious council has warned.

A ‘scientific’ report claims relaxing the ban would also see more Saudis – both men and women – turn to homosexuality and pornography.

The startling conclusions were drawn by Muslim scholars at the Majlis al-Ifta’ al-A’ala, Saudi Arabia’s highest religious council, working in conjunction with Kamal Subhi, a former professor at the King Fahd University.


They may have a point. I lost my virginity on the same day I got my first car (a 1968 Camaro.)

There was no homosexuality or pornography involved though.



Gratuitous Clinton Bashing


Even though it’s been out for a couple months now, Dan Froomkin decided to bring up Ron Suskind’s Confidence Men again:

In the book, Suskind describes how Obama made the conscious choice to staff his economic team with former Clinton appointees whose sympathies were with Wall Street — and that those men were unable to see how drastically out of whack the country’s financial system had gotten both because they helped create it and because it had served them so well.

Then, rather than forcefully impose his campaign’s populist vision on these men, Obama again consciously chose to defer to them repeatedly — and tolerated it even when they slow-walked, pushed back against, or simply ignored his instructions.

[...]

During his 2008 presidential campaign, Obama spoke eloquently and strikingly about the excesses of Wall Street.

[...]

In the midst of the U.S. government’s September 2008 bank bailout, Obama told a Nevada audience: “Let me be perfectly clear. The fact that we are in this mess is an outrage. It’s an outrage because we did not get here by accident. This was not a normal part of the business cycle. This was not the actions of a few bad apples.

“This financial crisis is a direct result of the greed and irresponsibility that has dominated Washington and Wall Street for years.”

And although he said it wasn’t time yet, he promised: “There will be time to punish those who set this fire.”

In October 2008, he promise to “take on the corruption in Washington and on Wall Street to make sure a crisis like this can never, ever happen again.”

And one day before he was elected president, he told a Florida audience: “Tomorrow, you can turn the page on policies that have put the greed and irresponsibility of Wall Street before the hard work and sacrifice of folks on Main Street.”

Obama’s most seminal speech on the crisis was his March 2008 address at Cooper Union. There, he laid part of the blame for the disaster on Clinton-era financial deregulation, including the 1999 repeal of the 1933 Glass-Steagall Act. That repeal, which broke down barriers between commercial and investment banking, led to the growth of financial behemoths that were able to take enormous risks with impunity because they were “too big to fail.”

“[I]nstead of establishing a 21st century regulatory framework, we simply dismantled the old one, aided by a legal but corrupt bargain in which campaign money all too often shaped policy and watered down oversight,” Obama said. “In doing so we encouraged a winner take all, anything goes environment that helped foster devastating dislocations in our economy.”

Among the foremost champions of that deregulatory regime were the key members of President Clinton’s economic team, including Robert Rubin, who was Clinton’s treasury secretary, Larry Summers, who succeeded Rubin, and Timothy Geithner, who worked directly under both of them.

But once Obama was elected, and was staring into the maw of staggeringly large financial crisis, he made a fateful decision: He left most of his progressive economic advisers behind — including such liberal luminaries as Robert Reich and Joseph Stiglitz — and chose to go with name brand Clinton officials instead. Summers became his chief economic adviser, Geithner became his Treasury secretary, and fellow Rubin protégé Peter Orszag became his budget director. (According to Suskind, Obama even offered Rubin himself an office in the White House.)

The “bold visions of the campaign season… resolved into the serious, often risk-averse business of actually governing,” Suskind writes. “In the midst of a battering economic storm, it no longer seemed like the right time to be making waves.”

While the appointments of these men and a slew of similarly pedigreed subordinates reassured the financial markets, their leadership undermined Obama’s populist promises.

Many of them had already spent their interregnum feeding at the Wall Street trough.

[...]

Back in March 2010, I wrote for HuffPost that “people looking for the reasons why the Obama presidency has not lived up to its promise won’t find the answer amid the minor rifts between key players….. The fact is that after a campaign that appealed so successfully to idealism, Obama hired a bunch of saboteurs of hope and change.”


Why is Froomkin blaming Bill Clinton for what the Obama administration has done (or failed to do?)

Look, if you want to make a case that Bill Clinton is responsible for the financial meltdown, then go ahead and make it. Yes, he signed the repeal of Glass-Steagall. But that bill (Gramm–Leach–Bliley Act) passed Congress with veto-proof majorities. (Senate 90-8, House 362-57) So it’s a little disingenuous to blame it all on the Big Dawg.

But does anyone really think that Bill Clinton wanted to cause a financial meltdown? In hindsight it seems easy to connect the dots, but I don’t recall hearing lots of controversy back in 1999. More importantly, the Big Dawg left office on January 2001, nearly eight years before the shit hit the fan.

What is really ridiculous is blaming Bill Clinton for what his former appointees have done since leaving his employ.

First of all, Obama had limited options if he wanted to appoint Democrats with executive branch experience. There aren’t many former Kennedy/Johnson staffers still above ground, and the Carter people are getting a little long in the tooth.

Obama picked the people he wanted. Once they were in office they were HIS people, not Bill’s. Whether they gave Obama bad advice or ignored his directions, Bill Clinton had no responsibility or control over any of them.

If you read the whole article you will see that the reason why Obama has failed to hold Wall Street accountable is right in front of Froomkin’s nose:

Consider what progressive hero Elizabeth Warren told Suskind in a September 2009 interview:

“You can’t run a policy based on a misdirection, on a fiction,” she said. “I don’t know what the president is thinking. I don’t see the president. He meets with bankers. He doesn’t meet with me. But if he’s involved in this at all, he’s got to know that his angry words at Wall Street, at their recklessness and dangerous incentives in compensation, about how they do their business in ways utterly divorced from what’s actually good for the economy — that he can’t just say that sort of thing, and then dump money in their laps and be credible.”


Who’s the number one recipient of Wall Street donations?

B-A-R-A-C-K O-B-A-M-A

They didn’t spend all that money for nothing. He’s the best investment they ever made.



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