Hunters Don’t Run With the Herd

You Betcha!

There are two diametrically opposed narratives out there regarding a Sarah Palin run for the Republican nomination. One is that she is a dumb bimbo who is paradoxically a brilliant businesswomen and doesn’t want to upset the gravy train. The other is that most of America loves her and she would run away with the nomination and presidency if she ran. Neither is quite right.

For one thing, it was pretty obvious from the beginning that the Republican Party hates her. She’s one of those accidental candidates who made it to the governor’s office without being a lawyer or a cog in the party machine. She went up against her own party in Alaska and won. Getting support through the RNC would be an uphill battle. This year’s primary system is designed to award delegates to the candidate with the most money later in the race.

Imagine Sarah Palin running for president. She would spend weeks at the mercy of the media, running slam polls, waiting for mispronunciations in debates and hounding her family. She wouldn’t be able to talk about what was wrong with the Republican Party while she was trying to court it. Plus, she’s be running with the herd as another Not-Romney candidate.

So, what do you do with yourself when you are wildly popular, can draw crowds of thousands and are viewed by millions on the Internet? You build yourself a Republican Party. Sarah Palin’s effect on the 2010 elections was greater than that of a presidential election. The Republicans had a 670 seat gain in state legislatures. In the House, they gained over 30 seats and had a retention rate of 98%. The Democrats only retained 76% of their seats. The Republicans flipped over half of the few Senate seats held by Democrats up for election.

There’s a reason a reload looks like a retreat. A hunter doesn’t charge an animal. A hunter seeks the advantage and waits patiently to take the shot. The Obots want the confrontation. Palin wants the trophy on her mantle. The next president will have a whole new Congress to deal with.

Tonight’s GOP Debate Preview


It’s getting ugly out there. Debate is at 6pm Pacifico (9pm Boston Lager time)


He hasn’t reached Bush level (yet)

Top of the world, Ma!


Hot Air:

Despite a three-month strategy to claim the moral high ground through class warfare, not-so-coincidentally occurring with labor-backed protests in most major cities, Barack Obama’s approval numbers have not changed much at all. The latest CBS survey shows his job approval under water at 44/46, but that’s not the worst part of the poll results for the President:

Less than one year out from Election Day 2012, voters remain overwhelmingly pessimistic about the economy, and their concerns are taking a toll on President Obama’s re-election chances. Just 41 percent of Americans think Mr. Obama has performed his job well enough to be elected to a second term, whereas 54 percent don’t think so.

The president’s overall approval rating remains in the mid-40′s, according to a CBS News poll – lower than the approval ratings of Mr. Obama’s four presidential predecessors at this point in their first terms. Mr. Obama’s approval rating is dragged down by his poor marks for his handling of the economy – which, at 33 percent, is the lowest rating of his presidency in CBS News polls.

Mr. Obama receives better marks on foreign policy and for his leadership skills. But when it comes to leading the economy in the right direction, voters are unimpressed: Just 28 percent think he has made progress on improving the economy. And most Americans say the president doesn’t share the public’s priorities, according to the poll, conducted December 5-7.

This last point is key in the context of Obama’s strategy this year. Since his speech to a joint session of Congress in early September, Obama has vigorously positioned himself as the champion of the middle and working classes, attacking Republicans as the party of the wealthy and pushing for redistributive policies, including those in his so-called “jobs bill” that even Democrats wouldn’t pass. That strategy has been a total flop. The numbers on the question of whether Obama shares the priorities of voters fell to the worst in the CBS series, 41/54, not coincidentally the same percentage as the question of whether Obama deserves re-election. In April, that was 43/53, and in May 2010 — as Obama headed for a historical mid-term rebuke — it was 45/47. It hasn’t changed the perception that Obama is helping Wall Street more than average Americans (42/38).


Short of invading Iran I can’t think of any likely scenario that would push Obama’s approval rating over fifty percent. His only hope is convincing people to reelect him because the Republicans are worse.™

Actually I think Obama’s real approval rating is several points lower than most polls show. I think a lot of people say they approve of him when they don’t because they don’t want to be accused of racism. Still others don’t want to admit they screwed up four years ago.

It’s evident from the surveys showing that people like Obama better than his policies. WTF? Obama is the least-likeable POTUS since Nixon. Neither one has people skills but at least Nixon was competent.


Wealth Part I


I wanted to do some deeper stuff on the concept of wealth and what it means. I figured the best place to start was at the beginning.

Modern humans (homo sapiens) emerged in Africa about 200,000 years ago. By the end of the Pleistocene era they had spread eastward along the Equator to India, Asia and Australia. As the glaciers retreated they moved north into Europe and across the Bering Strait into North America.

Early humans were hunter-gatherers, which basically means they wandered around looking for food. In some areas they needed protection from the environment too. From what we know of such people in more modern times they lived in tribes and wandered within set boundaries unless forced to go elsewhere.

That’s really not a lifestyle conducive to acquiring material possessions. You can safely assume that pretty much everything they owned was functional – tools, clothing and shelters. It was all handmade too.

Let’s say your tribe wandered into an unoccupied valley filled with game and wild foods. Life would be pretty good. But sooner or later other groups would join yours, and your own would grow. Eventually resources would become scarce.

Wealth in those days would consist of controlling enough resources to ensure the survival of your tribe. If you don’t have enough resources, some or all of your tribe will die during the winter.

As your tribe stays in the valley you become more knowledgeable about your environment and you make technological advances. You identify grains, nuts and roots that are edible after processing (such as drying, crushing and leeching out the tannic acid from acorns) and you learn how to preserve foods for the lean months. You also learn how to use certain leaves and seeds as well as salt to add flavor to your diet.

You develop tools like hooks and harpoons to catch more and bigger fish, and you develop tactics that allow you to hunt larger game and kill predators. You learn to make baskets and pots from reeds and clay, allowing you to transport and store food and water. You learn land management techniques like setting fires to clear out under brush, and you begin to domesticate sheep and goats.

While all the tribes in the valley migrate somewhat, some spend most of their time in the hills and others along the river banks. They occasionally meet and trade with each other, for both tribes mutual benefit.

All these innovations and the effort to use them mean that more food will be available, thus allowing your tribe to grow larger and still survive. But occasionally famine strikes and there are times of drought.


A Revolution

For generations upon generations your tribe has known that certain grasses produce an edible grain that can be harvested, dried and crushed into a powder. This powder can be mixed with water and eaten as a paste or the paste can be mixed with animal fat and baked on flat rocks to produce a bread. This has long been a staple of your tribe’s diet.

Then one spring a young know-it-all notices out that where some of the grain was spilled the previous fall there are now shoots of that grass growing. He pulls up some of the grass and sees that at the base of each is one of those grain pods, now split open with a green shoot and a root coming out.

He shows his father. “Shaddup and get to work” his father says, slapping him on the head. “I told you to tan those green hides and you better hurry up or I’ll tan yours!”

But this youngster doesn’t give up and eventually convinces his father to let him try an experiment. He spreads some of the extra grain leftover from the previous year (it was a very good year) on a bare patch of ground. Birds immediately swoop in and begin eating the grain.

“I told you it wouldn’t work” his father says, slapping him on the head. “Now go gather some firewood like I told you.”

But genius is not easily deterred. The boy reasons that if he covered the grain with dirt the birds couldn’t eat it. Using a sharpened stick to till the soil he plants some of the grain and covers it up.

A couple weeks later the boy shows his father a thick patch of green shoots emerging from the soil. “Look at how much grass is growing now!” he says.

“I always said you got my brains and your mother’s looks” his father replies.


It wasn’t quite that simple, but almost.

The basic concept of planting seeds started the Neolithic Revolution.

The Neolithic Revolution was the first agricultural revolution. It was the transition from hunting and gathering to agriculture and settlement. Archaeological data indicates that various forms of plants and animal domestication evolved independently in six separate locations worldwide circa 10,000–7000 years BP (8,000–5,000 BC). The earliest known evidence exists in the tropical and subtropical areas of southwestern/southern Asia, northern/central Africa and Central America.

However, the Neolithic Revolution involved far more than the adoption of a limited set of food-producing techniques. During the next millennia it would transform the small and mobile groups of hunter-gatherers that had hitherto dominated human history into sedentary societies based in built-up villages and towns, which radically modified their natural environment by means of specialized food-crop cultivation (e.g., irrigation and food storage technologies) that allowed extensive surplus food production. These developments provided the basis for high population density settlements, specialized and complex labor diversification, trading economies, the development of non-portable art, architecture, and culture, centralized administrations and political structures, hierarchical ideologies, and depersonalized systems of knowledge (e.g., property regimes and writing). The first full-blown manifestation of the entire Neolithic complex is seen in the Middle Eastern Sumerian cities (ca. 3,500 BC), whose emergence also inaugurates the end of the prehistoric Neolithic period.


COMING TOMORROW: Wealth Part II


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