Two More Days


Salena Zito:

Main Street In Revolt

The homemade sign for Mitt Romney in the yard of a well-manicured but modest home in Leadville, Colo., forlornly signals the fracture of another onetime supporter of Barack Obama.

If Romney wins the presidency on Tuesday, the national media, the Washington establishment and the bulk of academia will have missed something huge that happened in “flyover” America under their watch.

It is a story that few have told.

It reminds one of the famous quip by New Yorker film critic Pauline Kael following Richard Nixon’s landslide 1972 victory: “I live in a rather special world. I only know one person who voted for Nixon.”

Two years after suffering a historic shellacking in the 2010 midterm election, Democrats astonishingly have ignored Main Street Americans’ unhappiness.

That 2010 ejection from the U.S. House, and from state legislatures and governors’ offices across the country, didn’t happen inside the Washington Beltway world.

It didn’t reflect the Democrats’ or the media’s conventional wisdom or voter-turnout models. So it just wasn’t part of their reality.

In Democrats’ minds, it was never a question of “How did we lose Main Street?” Instead, it was the fault of the “tea party” or of crazy right-wing Republicans.

Yet in interview after interview — in Colorado, along Nebraska’s plains, in small Iowa towns or Wisconsin shops, outside closed Ohio steel plants and elsewhere — many Democrats have told me they are furious with the president. Not in a frothing-at-the-mouth or racist way, as many elites suggest. They just have legitimate concerns affecting their lives.

[...]

Never once have Main Street Americans heard Washington elites ponder, “What did we Democrats do to lose the confidence of so many voters?”


On Tuesday we get to send a message to Obama and the Democrats:

CAN YOU HEAR US NOW?


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124 Responses to Two More Days

  1. I hate these time changes- the cats don’t live in a world where there are arbitrary things like that. Breakfast time is when THEY say it is lol.
    On another note- adding a do over hour this week just plain sucks. I want this to be over.
    Yup- I want to send my message to the power hungry corrupt sobs that inflicted the last four years of misery on us. Turn about is fair play- right?

  2. swanspirit says:

    This was a fun read, I am just posting the conclusion

    Tarnished Silver: assessing the new king of stats
    by Colby Cosh

    http://www2.macleans.ca/2012/11/04/tarnished-silver-assessing-the-new-king-of-stats/

    It is also worth pointing out that Silver built a forecasting model for the 2010 UK election, which did turn out to be structurally unusual because of the strong Lib Dem/Nick Clegg performance. Silver got into squabbles with British analysts whose models were too simple for his liking, and the whole affair was an exemplar of what Silver’s biggest fans imagine his role to be: the empiricist hard man, crashing in on the pseophological old boys’ club and delivering two-fisted blasts of rugged science. It did not go well in the end, as his site’s liveblog of the returns records:

    10:00 PM (BST). BBC exit poll predicts Conservatives 307, Labour 255, LibDems 59.

    10:01 PM (BST). That would actually be a DROP for Lib Dems from the last election.

    10:02 PM (BST). BBC nerd says: “The exit polls are based on uniform behavior”, a.k.a. uniform swing. So we haven’t really learned anything about whether uniform swing is the right approach; it’s baked into the projection.

    10:07 PM (BST). We would obviously project a more favorable result than just 307 seats for Conservatives on those numbers. Calculating now.

    10:11 PM (BST). If the exit polls are right but the seat projections are based on uniform swing, we would show a Conservative majority on those numbers.

    10:13 PM (BST). Here is what our model would project… [Cons 341, Lab 219, Lib Dem 62]

    The final result? Conservatives 306, Labour 258, Liberal Democrats 57. The BBC’s projection from exit polls, using simple uniform-swing assumptions to forecast the outcome of a very wrinkly three-sided race, was so accurate as to be almost suspicious. And how was Silver’s performance after being basically given the national vote shares for the parties? Perhaps it’s best to draw the veil of charity over that.

    Which, in fact, seems to be what has happened. Lucky thing for Silver’s reputation!—but then, he has always been lucky.

  3. AniEm says:

    I may have to write Zito a fan letter. She provides a refreshing and lucid antidote to the Brett-propaganda from your previous post.

    • AniEm says:

      Correction: Brent. I shouldn’t try to touch type before 6 am.

    • elliesmom says:

      I hadn’t returned to Brent’s propaganda after my first visit there. When I went back there this morning, I got a kick out of the 18 year old telling Cynthia that she wasn’t welcome in HER party. It’s so typical of an Obama supporter to believe she has more right to a say in the way a political party functions and what it supports two weeks after becoming eligible to vote than a woman who was a Democrat for over 40 years. I am really hoping on Tuesday we get to put adults back in charge.

      • AniEm says:

        From what I’ve read Cynthia Ruccia is too good for this brat’s party. And so are we all. The sheer stupidity of these self-referential, self-centered idiots is just hideous. Wonder who they’re using as a role model.

    • angienc says:

      She’s on Twitter @SalenaZitoTrib

      She’s good to follow as well.

  4. taw46 says:

    I believe Mitt will win. For the last 2 weeks, the Obots at work have become silent. My sister has stopped posting Dem crap on Facebook. Last night, Mitt and Ann were calm and confident. I believe he will do this.

  5. tommy says:

    The Polico/GWU/Battleground has them tied at 48. Both Rassie and ABC/WaPo also show exactly the same.

  6. Pips says:

    Yesterday I followed a link, claiming bias at WaPo thinking ‘Finally! someone notices’ – only to find that the piece was about … WaPo not going after Romney. Lol.

    So this morning I wanted to copy/paste part of the piece – to share because it was so very odd; in the lol-sob kind of way – only to realize that it’s now nowhere to be found. I looked through my ‘History’ of clicks from yesterday and clicked a link that might have been the one I was searching for – only to see it turn into a different link before my very eyes and the original disappearing! Weird! :shock:

  7. Roberta says:

    I was wondering when someone would bring up 2010. Eveyone has been ignoring it as if it never happened. I think and believe 2012 will be 2010 on steroids. Since then Republican registrations have gone way up in many places. It will make a difference. I wil so enjoy watching the discomfort by mainstream media elites on Tuesday night.

    • elliesmom says:

      Every time I see a comment you’ve written, I think, “Wait, did I write that?” I guess it’s because I’ve met so few Robertas. I’ve taught over a thousand students, but never had a Roberta in one of my classes.

      • Roberta says:

        Interesting. I taught school 11 years and never had a Roberta either.

        I went through 11 years of my own schooling and I was always ony Roberta. In 11th grade there were 2 more besides me. Go figure.

    • Constance says:

      I wish we could stop referring to the east coast people who run media and want to run our government as elites and start calling them what they are which is elitists.

    • angienc says:

      I don’t know about 2010 on steroids because more Dems will be coming out for this election than they did for the mid-terms (as is traditional). Nonetheless, more Rs will be coming out too & there will definitely *not* be a repeat of 2008 D+7 advantage (which actually occurred more because more Rs — disgusted with the GOP but not willing to vote for the Dems) stayed home than there being *more* Dems than usual at the polls.

    • foxyladi14 says:

      Scotty started this avalanche :)

  8. cj says:

    This is very good.

    “Before the Election: Some Questions From a Liberal Former Liberal”

    http://networkedblogs.com/EjRlO

    • wmcb says:

      That is very good. I also like this in the comments:

      I’m going to respectfully object to your sloppy use of terms.

      Obama supporters love it when you call him a “socialist”, because he is demonstrably NOT simply a socialist. It is easy for them to point out that he has not moved to nationalize much of anything, including health care.

      Rather, Obama is a much more dangerous animal. He is a opportunistic Collectivist…or a adherent of BIG STATISM in any form that gains ground.

      His favorite economic model is fascist economics, which in America is vastly more dangerous than socialism, which we would resist. Fascist economics allows people to be lulled into apathy because it leaves nominal ownership of property in the hands of its owners, while exerting state control over many of the most important decisions affecting its use. Look at GM, GE, and health insurance as examples.

      • Lulu says:

        More and more people are understanding that he is fascist. His outlook is authoritarian and very disturbing. The revenge crack he made is typical of a strongman view of himself as is his fascination with gangsters. He surrounds himself with sycophants who are drawn to this. After he is defeated the really weird disturbing stuff will start coming out and he knows it. That is why they are heading to Hawaii to hole up.

        • cj says:

          He’s a very dangerous man. I’ve been telling my kids that since 07, and they’re finally starting to believe me.

  9. myiq2xu says:

    From Salena Zito on 8/5/12:

    Can Obama Keep Centrist Dems in 2012?

    For a striking number of Democrats, May 31, 2008, is a day that lives in infamy. It marked the moment that the national party’s rules committee dealt a deathblow to Hillary Clinton’s bid to win the presidential nomination over Barack Obama.

    The committee, weighted with Obama loyalists, issued a unanimous decision amid whispered back-door deals.

    The date “will not be forgotten,” according to Gayle Allegro, a Democrat from Pine Island, Fla. – which is why Allegro was frosted by last week’s announcement that Bill Clinton will be the keynote speaker at the Democrats’ national convention next month.

    “If Obama and his crew think that having Bill Clinton give a speech is going to sway all the Democrats that left the party in 2010 or just slipped into the shadows, they are mistaken,” she said.

    “Do they really think we are that stupid, that we don’t see what is going on?”

    • fif says:

      It’s nice to know there are others out there, across the country, who know exactly what happened, remember it vividly, and we stand together resolute against that injustice. I will never forget it or vote for him in any form whatsoever. He violated the very foundation of this country on that day–any other issue is secondary. The only thing that could redeem him would be a full detailed confession, and restitution. Never gonna happen. A relatively uninformed friend called me from the swingin’ state of Texas this week to hear my suggestions about who to vote for. I am in NY, so my vote is irrelevant in this blue-blue state. She is now voting Romney.

      Obama is right about one thing: revenge is sweet.

      • threewickets says:

        Honk. Think Hillary’s 11 million women voters from the primaries ended up splitting 50/50 between Bronco and McCain in 2008. Then they skewed more Republican in 2010. Think that trend will be the same or amplified in the swing states this year. Though maybe not in the royal blue coastal states in the Northeast or West.

      • Erica says:

        I’m also gratified to hear that other people remember that date and have not let the meaning or memory of it fade. When I stand in the polling booth on Tuesday morning, I will check my ballot for Romney in honor of May31, and with hopes for 2013 and beyond.

  10. Pips says:

    You’re Stupid If You Think It’s Close ! Headline to an article by Paul Krugman. Why all the namecalling?

    As Nate Silver (who has lately attracted a remarkable amount of hate — welcome to my world, Nate!) …

    Awww, playing the ‘victim card’ now. Lol.

    … the Romney campaign is visibly flailing, trying desperately to find new fronts on which to attack Obama.

    And as proof linking to a piece at TPM that tries to ‘worm’ Obama’s “revenge” quote and turn it against Romney!

    Again, as Nate says …

    Lol, I’m always amused by people being on ‘first name only’ with their ‘partners in crime’. ;)

    But … it does make me sad that this is Paul Krugman ‘speaking’. :(

  11. gxm17 says:

    I’m seeing a lot of action in Northern Virginia. Obama signs finally started popping up this week (still not a lot of bumper stickers) and my obot FB friend is posting about the huge crowd at Jiffy Libe Live for the Obama/Clinton rally. This leads me to believe that they are genuinely worried about losing VA. I’ll do my part and head to the polls to vote against the big zero.

  12. DeniseVB says:

    Remember the Evangelicals stayed home in 2008 and someone reported this morning that they are ENERGIZED for 2012.

    SarahPac just donated $5,000 to Mitt’s campaign.

    #Winning :D

  13. cynic says:

    Here are two statements from a letter from Bishop Jenky, Bishop of Peoria, that was in our church bulletin today:

    “Since the foundation of the American Republic and the adoption of the Bill of Rights, I do not think there has ever been a time more threatening to our religious liberty than the present.”

    “This assault upon our religious freedom is simply without precedent in the American political and legal system.”

  14. Pips says:

    If it wasn’t for TCH I wouldn’t have known about the heartbreaking, devastating situation on Staten Island. And I can’t find updates, as googling ‘Staten Island+Sandy’ only gets me links 2-3 days old. That’s just terrible!

      • angienc says:

        Meanwhile, Geraldo did piece on Staten Island last night & didn’t show any of that. Just heartwarming stories of private citizens volunteering to come in & help people in need there on their own initiative.

        He briefly touched on the NYC Marathon controversy, with emphasis on Bloomberg finally canceling it. Minimal talk about resources diverted to prep for it, etc.

        • leslie says:

          Despite his shortcomings, (there were a few stories – but only a few about the tragic consequences of this storm) he was still the only one even reporting on Sandy. (At least as far as I could find).Everyone is protecting TehOnce. We can’t know that he is truly the equal of GWBush r/t storm recovery – and so mant other areas.

          That’s why I tweeted about it last nite.

        • leslie says:

          Right now, Megyn Kelly is covering the situation in Staten Island and the coast line. She is saying, “What a nightmare”. She is right.

        • leslie says:

          My oldest daughter is a marathon runner. She ran the NY marathon a couple of years ago. I know her and I know that if she had been in NYC for the marathon, and it had been canceled, she would be one of the runners donating her time, energy and supplies to those who are being so badly affected.

          This neglect is unacceptable.

      • Pips says:

        It’s all so terribly, terribly sad. Not only the devastation, people losing everything, far too many dying, but on top of that the impression they now have, that they have been forgotten; abandoned.

        Did Bloomberg ever see to that the food, drinks, generators, tents, what have you, that was lined up for the far-too-late cancelled marathon, was distributed to those in need?

        Marathon runners who came to NY from all over the world, have been donating and distributing their gear: clothes, shoes, snacks, sleeping bags! From ESPN:

        On Staten Island, the runners with backpacks emerged from the ferry for a quick briefing.

        Staten Island resident Jonscott Turco gave instructions.

        “The devastation and damage you are about to wander into … ” He paused, almost teary. “It’s pretty extraordinary. The only thing I can prepare you for is they’re still finding people, remains.”

        He told the runners that some people were grateful they were there but might not react very nicely.

        They set off.

        “I’m a little nervous that they’re going to be like, ‘Who the hell are you?'” said runner Danielle Jakob.

        The landscape worsened as they approached the waterfront. Shuttered gas stations. Long gas lines, with people asleep in their cars.

        One man honked and yelled, “There’s no marathon! Go home!” But people standing outside one deli yelled encouragement: “Thank you, ladies!” “God is good!”

        Near the water, there were no traffic lights and far more sirens. Houses looked like they had been sacked. Furniture was in front yards, washing machines, TVs.

        But one guy came out of his home and asked if the runners had flashlights, and they did. At another house, a family wearing face masks asked for batteries and sweatshirts. They said, “God bless you.” The man said, “Let me take your picture.”

        For runner Hana Abdo, the whole scene was striking. When she found out the marathon had been canceled, “I was almost in tears because I’ve been training for two years,” she said.

        “But what is two years of my life to somebody’s whole life?”

      • Pips says:

        And all the while we have to listen to pundits and ‘experts’ discussing whether Sandy helps Obama or not. Sheesh!

        Not to mention the idiots who just couldn’t wait to explain to us how, in the long run, this would actually generate an economic boost! Now they are the real idiots – looking at you Professor Krugman!

  15. Why do all these polls and pundits believe that all those Early Votes rendered by Democrats ARE for Obama and other Democrats? They can’t COUNT THE VOTES until Tuesday, and I for one, know NO ONE (except one person) who voted for Obama last time who are voting for him again.

    Does anyone else think they are going to have a big FU by a bunch of Registered Dems (like me) who will not be voting for the tin calf?

    • DeniseVB says:

      Michele Malkin says this election will be decided by the Bitter Clingers ! Last I checked those were Dems like me ;)

    • piper says:

      FF, Have been saying the same thing for the past several day, not sure if the writers / posters are escapees from the mental hospitals or trying to frighten / goad people away from voting.
      I remember in 2008 Dick Vigurie telling Lou Dobbs on CNN that they (Republican Right) might sit this one out as a way of reminding the Party of their philosophy / objectives. If I recall correctly that somewhere between 4 and 10 million Republicans sat out the last Presidential election.

    • angienc says:

      My mom’s vote is one of those — she’s still registered Dem but voted for Romney (of course, she’s in a red state but nonetheless, they are more of people like her out there).

    • Oh Yeah. I kept my D after my name cuz here in bitter clinger we have to have an affiliation to vote in a primary. (something to work on after this is all over- corrupt bastards control the whole thing start to finish)
      They probably count me as a potential vote for asshat.
      BWHAHAHAHAHAHA!
      I know I am not alone. I wrote Hillary in in the primary. They did not apy attention.

      • leslie says:

        After the 2012 primary in Ilinois, I am now registered as a R. We have to declare a party in order to vote in the primaries. The odd thing is that one of the poll workers remarked that I was one of many who had declared as R this time. My guess is that many Ds were voting for Santorum to try to tilt the numbers here. I continue to receive emails, flyers, calls from the D candidates running in this state/district. So I guess either they haven’t given up, or the change in parties was really not so unusual this time.

        Little do they know . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

  16. DandyTiger says:

    A Romney win would be truly historic. I hope the Democratic party doesn’t ruin Mitt’s chance of being a truly historic first Mormon president. :)

  17. votermom says:

    • DM says:

      I read that Mitt has been working to get the Hillary vote. What a novel idea! Obama shoved us out the door and told us to “get over it”, but to vote for him. :)

    • Pips says:

      For most of my life, I’ve been an active Democrat. I am proud to have worked for President Bill Clinton and then-Senator Hillary Clinton, and, during that time, I saw firsthand what can be accomplished by strong, bipartisan leadership. I know what it means to work across the aisle on issues that are important to the American people. And that’s why I am supporting Mitt Romney. Governor Romney has a plan to restore the prosperity this country deserves and expects. He will work with people of good will no matter what their party, and he will pursue the policies that are in the best interest of our country, no matter who proposes them. That’s what President Obama promised to do four years ago. But like so many of his promises, bipartisan cooperation is just another one he has broken. We can’t have four more years of failed policies and two parties that can’t work together. We need the change Mitt Romney is offering.

      • Erica says:

        Romney’s been talking about this at the end of his speeches. Saying specifically that he’ll find and engage the “good people of both parties” who care about the country more than their party and want to make real change. He’s not into demonizing. That’s one thing I respect about him.

  18. driguana says:

    Main Street policy? There is no Main Street policy in this administration…..in fact, there are very few mainstreets left int his country!!! They should still be the spine of our communities instead of the bane….if there is one thing that is of extreme importance to the turnaround of the American economy in 2013, it will be the revitalization of the mainstreet concept (or crossroads or plazas and town squares)….the rebirth of community, the celebration of community and the real revitalization of “place”….with all due respect to J.B. Jackson of La Cienega, NM who created the phrase, don’t give me any more of the “Sense of Place” drivel….we don’t need a “sense” of place, we need real places, with real local jobs, real local relevance and with real community confluence….

    • wmcb says:

      HONK! Romney has his faults, but he seems to have at least some gut-level understanding that it is our individual communities and businesses that are the spine of America.

      Obama lives in a world of grand centralized plans from Washington that micromanage us into oblivion. Romney seems to “get” that federal govt can foster, encourage, and remove roadblocks, but cannot make it happen and control it. The process of thriving communities is too organic for that.

      • driguana says:

        You’re exactly right, wmcb…..community places are intrinsically organic. All of the great places everywhere happened for some “organic” reason….commerce, religion, protection, geography, natural resources…whatever. Now “places” are mostly created by developers without any of that intrinsic value. It really is the local people in concert with local entrepreneurs and local regulators that need to be at the forefront of a new community revolution, if you will. As a community planner (don’t call me an organizer) all my adult life, I call it “spiritics”…..the revival of the “spirit” of a place.

        I keep thinking about the “revenue sharing” program created by Nixon, of all people, in 1971 and supported a year later by Hubert Humphrey (the only person I ever voted for president until now). It was a really great idea that fell down because of local fraud issues and a threat of higher taxes and was, also ironically, discontinued by Reagan. But if any idea of “redistributiion of wealth” has any chance of being relevant again, it might be an evolved concept for getting revenue directly back into the economic well-being of our community places and letting the communities decide how to spend that revenue…..just thinking.

    • angienc says:

      HONK!
      The mega-rich are getting richer in NYC, LA & Cambridge.Everyone else is getting poorer.
      But Obama & Credit Card Joe (D-MBNA) are the ones “fighting for the middle class” because words, not deeds, are what matter.
      That’s why I love Romney’s “closing” stump speech lines of “I don’t just talk about change. I’ve made it happen;” “records are earned;” and “I won’t just take office. I will take responsibility for the office.”

      Hopefully, the majority of us in this country feel as we do.

  19. DeniseVB says:

    For those who don’t follow FB Romney Democrats, Uber liberal New York Daily News and Newsday just flipped their endorsements from Obama 08 to Romney 12. THIS is a BFD :D

  20. alice223 says:

    Zito’s article is quite good, and I think the analysis is spot on. This is exactly what I see: I work in this kind of insular and frankly parochial environment (higher ed gated community in flyover country). Everyday, I’m surrounded by people who are disdainful, condescending, smug, and elitist — all the while claiming that they’re morally superior to their intellectually inferiors. They’ll be shocked — shocked, I tells ya! — come Tuesday. They never saw it coming. Best case scenario for them: Mitt only wins the popular vote and BO squeaks by with the ev’s.

    They never saw it coming. No, they never saw it coming. Well, they couldn’t see it because they remain sealed in their echo chamber and can’t tolerate any other point of view. And the more they marginalize and silence anyone beyond their magical circle, the more people feel it and push back. As I see it, many people have simply opted out of “mainstream” discourse because there’s nothing there for them.

    Krugman represents this condescending crowd perfectly.

  21. Seen on the way home from church – on a vehicle with Fl plates- here in NW PA- Soaped on the back window-
    “BenGhazi Barry Must Go”
    Other windows proclaiming “Vote him OUT!”

    They were getting honks and thumbs up from everyone!

    I like that nick name- BenGhazi Barry! Works for me!

  22. angienc says:

    You know what else the MSM isn’t covering because it hurts TehPrecious? Benghazi. Yesterday the CIA had a press conference call on it & guess what? Just like that press call from the State Dept. the day before the congressional hearing, FOX was excluded! Once I could buy it was an oversight, but twice the Obama administration has EXCLUDED the one network that is ACTUALLY covering this story? BULL FUCKING SHIT. If you needed more prove something in the milk ain’t clean, this is it as far as I’m concerned.

    Jennifer Griffin reports:

    “On Thursday, the CIA excluded Fox News from a briefing for a small group of reporters in which they provided a timeline from the night of the attack in which they explain that at 5:15 a.m. (7 hrs and 28 minutes after the attack on the consulate began) five mortars are fired at the annex, three of them striking the roof and killing Woods and Doherty…”

    Read more here: http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2012/11/04/what-laser-capability-did-benghazi-team-have/#ixzz2BGehWeJh

  23. DeniseVB says:

    I’m not impressed with Gov Cuomo, sigh, he was one of my “hopes” for the future of the Dems. His pressers have been limp at best, then I saw his girlfriend Sandra Lee on Fox whip her sponsers (Sears/Kmart) into action with dozens of trucks arriving in NYC with food and water.

    Moments ago, President of the Red Cross whined on Fox “we’re there now”. Blamed local red tape for the delays for taking a week to show up on Staten Island. Why? Thought Obama cut the red tape?

    Marathoners stranded in NYC because Bloomberg didn’t cancel the marathon soon enough. He should have at least postponed the race, a week ago, when airlines and hotels were giving “no penalty” cancellations. There ya go, out of touch 1% billionaire.

    Trying to help the local relief efforts in NYC area. Had to laugh at the Breezy Point Community (where the 100 homes tragically burned down) trying to reach a 500k goal to rebuild their community. Really? ONE home in that neighborhood is at least 500k.

  24. bluestate says:

    dennis miller is talking a lot of sense on twitter:

  25. britgirls says:

    Hello Crawdad Hole! I’m finally back after nearly a week of no internet, phone or TV. Luckily we have a generator so we had light and heat. Got loads done around the house … amazing how much time I waste on the computer. Doh!

    Hope everyone on the east coast is getting back to normal.

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