Jaime Fuller fails the SAT


Today in SAT Prep: Romney Is to Clinton as Perry Is to Obama

Today, still 14 months out from the Republican National Convention, some journalists remain wary of thinking the race could be over so soon despite Rick Perry’s impressive polling. Amy Gardner at the Washington Post wrote yesterday that “Republicans are still shopping for a presidential nominee” and Ken Rudin argued on his NPR blog that the 1972 primaries provide historical evidence that all candidates should be considered viable nominees, especially this early in the game. However, we don’t need to go back decades to show that predictions of Perry winning the nomination are not necessarily premature; we only need to go back to the last presidential election.

At first glance, it seems the 2008 Democratic primaries prove exactly the opposite: Clinton was a frontrunner, and Perry is the current frontrunner, so isn’t it logical to assume that Romney or a new candidate could still win the primaries? Not exactly. Rick Perry is polling ahead for the same reason Obama eventually won his party’s nomination.

In September 2007, Hillary Clinton’s eventual nomination to be the Democratic candidate for the 2008 presidential election seemed like a no-brainer. Clinton had bested her rivals in the polls and the punditry for months. In the futures markets, Clinton was leading Obama by as much as 55 points. The Economist wondered: “Can Hillary be stopped? It’s looking less likely by the day.” Even George W. Bush predicted that Clinton would be the Democratic nominee. But, by the beginning of election year, Obama and Clinton were in a dead heat. He scored endorsements from Oprah, John Kerry and Andrew Sullivan, raised a record $32 million in January 2008 and had his significant victory in the Iowa caucus.

The reason Obama beat Clinton in 2008 is because independent and moderate voters — the bread and butter of general elections — are mostly irrelevant in primary elections where passionate partisans drive decision-making. Obama looked like the best candidate to liberal Democrats in 2008—in part because of his long-standing opposition to the Iraq War—and those are the voters who matter most in the primaries for both parties. The same fundamentals are working to push Perry to the forefront now. Tea Partiers —the most vocal contributors in the primaries—find the ‘ponzi scheme’ Perry more attractive than his more moderate rival, just as Clinton couldn’t compete with the passionate rhetoric that liberals craved, and Obama offered, after eight years of Bush.

I realize it may get tedious, but I’m gonna keep correcting attempts to rewrite history.

Obama raised $99 million in 2007 from Wall Street bankers, health insurance company executives, oil company executives, energy company executives, and lots of other big money special interests. That’s more money than all the other Democratic candidates except Hillary raised combined. That’s an amazing sum for a freshman senator with no significant accomplishments in his entire life.

Obama was running a distant third for most of 2007 and didn’t move into real contention until late in the year. Then in January 2008 he won the undemocratic Iowa caucuses. The media spent several days singing “Ding-dong, the witch is dead.”

Then a funny thing happened. Hillary came from behind to win the New Hampshire primary. Shock and dismay rock the Obama camp. Allegations of cheating and racism abound.

On January 15, 2008 the State of Michigan held a primary as authorized by its state legislature but in violation of Democratic party rules. The media refused to call it a primary and instead referred to it as a “beauty contest.” Hillary Clinton won easily, due in part to Obama’s decision to remove his name from the ballot. Despite the fact that his name wasn’t on the ballot the Rules and Bylaws committee would later award Obama nearly half of Michigan’s pledged delegates.

On January 19th the Nevada Caucuses were held. Hillary got more votes but due to rules that gave more weight to some districts than others, Obama won more delegates.

Next came the South Carolina primary on January 25th. Rarely mentioned is the fact that approximately 65% of the Democratic voters in South Carolina are African American. In the weeks prior to the primary the Obama campaign (through surrogates) played the race card on Bill and Hillary. Obama won 98% of the SC African American vote and won the primary.

On January 29, 2008 the State of Florida held a primary as authorized by its state legislature but in violation of Democratic party rules. The media refused to call it a primary and instead referred to it as a “beauty contest.” Hillary Clinton won easily with 50% of the vote to Obama’s 33% (Edwards got 14%.) The Rules and Bylaws committee would later reduce Florida’s delegate count in half, reducing the effect of Hillary’s victory.

Then came Super Duper Tuesday on February 5th. Twenty-three states and territories participated. Hillary won Arizona, Arkansas, California, Massachusetts, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, Oklahoma and Tennessee. The media declared Obama the winner and spent the rest of the month singing “Ding-dong, the witch is dead.”

Despite the assertions by the Obama campaign and the media (but I repeat myself) that Obama was the “inevitable” nominee, Hillary refused to quit the race. Then beginning on March 4th she won primaries in Ohio, Texas, Pennsylvania, Indiana, West Virginia, Kentucky, Puerto Rico and South Dakota.

At the end of the primaries Hillary had won more votes than Obama. In fact, she won more votes than any Democrat in any primary campaign ever. Thanks to the Rules and Bylaws committee ruling on May 31st, Obama had a narrow lead in pledged delegates. Neither candidate had enough pledged delegates to win the nomination.

Obama became the nominee because of the super-delegates – the Democratic party establishment. They had secretly urged Obama to run and had promised to endorse him even while some of them were publicly endorsing Hillary. Hillary won the West Virginia primary by 41 points and the following day both WV senators (Byrd and Rockefeller) endorsed Obama.

As for Obama’s “long-standing opposition to the Iraq War,” that was a fairy tale.

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98 Responses to Jaime Fuller fails the SAT

  1. ralphb says:

    Hate to quibble with Jaime Fuller but I think a more apt SAT prep would say “Romney is to Kerry as Perry is to Howard Dean”.

  2. insanelysane says:

    myiq said:” I realize it may get tedious, but I’m gonna keep correcting attempts to rewrite history.”

    It is an unforgiving dirty, ugly job, but somebody has to do it.

  3. Murphy says:

    Gotta keep banging this drum about the truth regarding the 08 dem primaries — thx miq

    2008 was the first “social networking” prez election. We won’t be caught unawares this time re the astro-turfing, the journo-listing, and the conflicts of interest.

  4. HELENK says:

    in states where there were caucus votes the thugs swarmed and intimidated and threatened and cheated to get backtrack the votes.
    Then the DNC decided that the rules did not count anymore and gave backtrack the nomination.
    I will never forget or forgive

    unemployment needs to start in DC asap

  5. HELENK says:

    Pa wants to change electoral votes by congressional district award rather than winner take all.


    • votermom says:

      I’m not sure what I think about that. Hm.

      • HELENK says:

        It could change a lot of outcomes. The cities of Philadelphia and Pittsburgh usually vote democratic but a lot of the other counties vote republican.

        unemployment needs to start in DC asap

    • honora says:

      I am a proponent of the National Popular Vote, which would ensure that the presidential candidate who had the most votes would become president. They just reached the half way mark in making it the law of the land. They seem to think that the congressional district award is a move in the wrong direction. http://www.nationalpopularvote.com/pages/misc/hl_20070909_worseplans.php

      • WMCB says:

        I’m opposed to a national popular vote. It flies in the face of Federalism, and ensures that the only real voice in the country belongs to the most populous states.

        Sorry, but I don’t want LA, NY, Philly and Chicago deciding the entire fate of the nation. The constitution set up the state electoral college system for a reason.

  6. Valhalla says:

    myiq — thank you so much for persevering. It sucks to have to keep doing it but it is a tremendous service to us all.

  7. yttik says:

    I will NEVER forget that history.

    This is kind of funny: “Rick Perry’s impressive polling.” We are such an instant gratification culture. Perry has been running for prez for exactly 30 days now, and the last two weeks have been pretty shaky for him. The election is still 14 months away.

  8. DeniseVB says:

    If you need a giggle…..Shelby Fluffy video!

  9. Dario says:

    Obama became the nominee because of the super-delegates – the Democratic party establishment.

    This is the reason I will not forgive the Democratic Party. I will never vote for Obama, but he’s not I blame the most for the disaster the country is in. The party did not care about the American people. To put an inexperienced, unaccomplished man to lead us out of the morass is what the opposition does.

  10. DeniseVB says:

    Hey fellow Twits, check it out….

    click on the hashtag #attackwatch people are having FUN with it 😀

  11. DandyTiger says:

    Love this one:

    LiberalBoobs: #attackwatch Omg! There’s a crazy illegal alien driving drunk on the wrong side of the road! Oh. Wait. It’s Uncle Omar. My bad.

  12. DandyTiger says:

    I think the outrageous comedy over at #AttachWatch set up by Obama zombies, er. campaign staff, is very telling. The tied has turned on the social networking president.

  13. Vladimir Putin, Action Man This was popular today. Some voicing concern he’s waiting for Europe to come apart.

    • Mimi says:

      This is not a lazy dude. Scary yes, lazy layabout no. And historically speaking Europe comes apart about every 50 to 100 years so they are about due. With the choices made since WWII economically they are looking at some major upheaval with hopefully a minimum of violence.

  14. Dario says:

    What Americans are saying are not smears.


    Get the facts. Fight the smears.

    Join Attack Wire—and help stop the attacks on the President before they start.

    When another unfounded attack surfaces, we’ll arm you with the truth so you can share the facts with your friends and family.

    Email: *
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    Continue to AttackWatch.com »
    Paid for by Obama for America

  15. ralphb says:

    Daily Show preview of their 09/13/01 commemoration. I have no clue if this will work or not 🙂


  16. DandyTiger says:

    #AttachWatch is better than shark week. True story.

  17. myiq2xu says:

    New Scandal at DoJ as Illegal Guitars End Up In Hands of Mexican Drug Lords

    WASHINGTON – Today’s uncovering of secret multi-agency program for shipping illegal Gibson guitars to Mexican drug cartels left red-faced officials of the U.S. Department of Justice scrambling for an explanation amid angry calls for a Congressional investigation.

    “I have ordered all agency personnel to fully cooperate in any Congressional inquiries, including all reasonable document request, as soon as we can redact them with Sharpie pens and lighter fluid,” said U.S. Attorney General Eric Holder.

    The secret program came to light early this morning in the border town of Nogales, Arizona, after what was described as a wild battle of the bands between members of the Sinaloa cartel and Los Zetas, two of Mexico’s most notorious violent drug gangs.

    “Usually these guys are armed with Mexican Strats and Squires, Epiphones, small caliber stuff like that,” said Pedro Ochoa, 36, an eye witness to the sonic melee. “This time they were packing the heavy firepower.”

    The steady barrage of power chords and piercing solo attacks attracted the attention of nearby U.S. Border Patrol agents, who arrived at the scene just as Los Zetas broke into Led Zeppelin’s ‘Immigrant Song.’ By the time the dust had cleared, U.S. Border Patrol Agent Oscar Jimenez was found in a catatonic state of headbanging. He was later flown to University of Arizona Hospitals, where his condition is listed as seriously rawked.

    The spandex-clad suspects were able to flee back into Mexico, but not before abandoning their arsenal of axes – the quality of which shocked Border Patrol agents.

  18. lorac says:

    myiq – THANKS THANKS THANKS – very excellent description of the real history herstory of Hillary’s run! I get so tired of news accounts saying he ran a superior campaign and she ran a poor campaign, so he won, the end. Never any mention of the truth of how they ran their campaigns (cheating is not “superior”), and never any truth about how step by step they did all they could to steal it from Hillary. So thanks again!

    (although I would have been more specific about those MI delegates given to Obama – which were against the rules, as those votes for “uncommitted” couldn’t be given to anyone else, and about how they actually gave a bunch of HILLARY’S delegates to him, which was DEFINITELY against the rules. Still burns me up!)

  19. WMCB says:

    OT: Ahhhh, those intelligent, civil, non-hating progressives at the Big Cheeto. Re: the NY-9 election tonight:

    I can almost start to understand anti-semetism and all the horrible things done to Jews over the years when I see the Hassidim (they should be banned from voting).”


    That’s no minor troll, either. SoCalLiberal is a well known poster there, been there for years.

    • DandyTiger says:

      That’s stunning. Wasn’t there just a post recently from the big orange head himself about how he’d ban anyone peddling even a hint of racism….

      • WMCB says:

        Silly Dandy. That’s only for racism/sexism/antisemitism aimed at people or candidates they like.

        Republicans, Independents, whatever, are fair game to be called lawn jockeys, cunts, and filthy Jooooooooos.

        The Democratic Party sells more indulgences to get yer hate on than Pope Pious ever did.

    • Three Wickets says:

      Well at least he’s admitting to it. They are the bigots and racists they’ve been waiting for. It’s always like that with self-loathing elitists.

    • ralphb says:

      Since the Republican won the special in NV-2, wonder if they hate Hispanics?

    • angienc says:

      SoCalAnti-Semite can spin it all he/she wants. It isn’t Hassidim’s fault the seat went to the GOP candidate. It’s all on OBAMA.

      Make no mistake about it, the albatross around Weprin’s neck is named Obama, and Democrats who value honesty will tell you privately that the president’s 37 percent approval rating in the district is making it difficult for Weprin to win a race that in almost any other time would be a slam-dunk,” Stuart Rothenberg, an independent analyst and editor of the Rothenberg Political Report, wrote Tuesday.

  20. Three Wickets says:

    @DLoesch: Erections have consequences! #NY09

    • WMCB says:

      LOL! This wasn’t just disgust with Weiner, though, or that Walperin was a weak candidate. It shouldn’t have mattered.

      NY 9 has been a Democratic lock since the 19 freaking 20’s. Any way you slice it, this is REFUDIATION of Obama.

      • ralphb says:

        Wiener’s constituents wanted him to stay in Congress and the Dems forced him out. That didn’t help.

        • WMCB says:

          I’m laughing my ass off because a few idiots on DU are now claiming that NY 9 was “not really a deep blue district”

          ROTFL! Yeah, because not electing a single Republican in NINETY FUCKING YEARS is not solidly Dem at all. Why, it’s practically a reliably toss-up district!

          They cannot admit that their messiah is doing exactly what we said he would, starting 4 years ago: Destroy the Democratic party.

        • ralphb says:

          Just goes to show there’s no cure for stupid.

        • Three Wickets says:

          Obama’s favorability in the district went from 60% in 2008 to 38% today. Pretty sure this was a referendum on Obama. 🙂

        • Slightly different numbers.

          If Turner wins on Tuesday it will be largely due to the incredible unpopularity of Barack Obama dragging his party down in the district. Obama won 55% there in 2008 but now has a staggeringly bad 31% approval rating, with 56% of voters disapproving of him. It’s a given that Republicans don’t like him but more shocking are his 16% approval rating with independents and the fact that he’s below 50% even with Democrats at 46% approving and 38% disapproving. Obama trails Mitt Romney 46-42 in a hypothetical match up in the district and leads Rick Perry only 44-43.

      • Dario says:

        It’s REFUDIATION of Obama AND the Democratic Party that forced out Wiener. They know that Wiener had been critical of Obama and that didn’t endear him to the WH.

        It’s a great day for the bitter knitters. Our numbers keep growing.

  21. Dario says:

    Human Nature post — If I were running for office I’d answer that question thus: There are two possibilities with someone who doesn’t have health insurance. A. The person doesn’t have a job and/or the employer doesn’t provide health care and no money. Sure the state picks up the tab. B. The person doesn’t have health insurance because he’s self employed, but has money and assets. Give the person medical care and bill him.

    Republicans just won’t admit what is wrong with our health care system. It’s broken and Obama made institutionalized the worst part of the system.

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