Underwater


Via Hot Air:

Obama’s approval rating drops to all-time low; Public split on jobs plan

As concerns about the struggling U.S. economy grow, a new CBS News/New York poll finds that President Obama’s overall approval rating has dropped to 43 percent, the lowest so far of his presidency in CBS News polling. In addition, his disapproval rating has reached an all-time high of 50 percent.

Views of the president’s job performance are marked by a striking degree of polarization along party lines — the vast majority of Democrats approve (78 percent), while even more Republicans disapprove (89 percent) of how he’s handling his job. But only 37 percent of independents approve, with 54 percent disapproving.

Except for a notable spike in approval after the killing of Osama bin Laden in May, President Obama’s approval rating has been below 50 percent since the spring of 2010.


That wasn’t Rasmussen, that was a CBS/NYT poll.

Obama is dropping like Enron stock.



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15 Responses to Underwater

  1. myiq2xu says:

    NMMNB:

    But the thing is, America likes nobody right now, as you see if you check the numbers, specifically the approval-disapproval numbers of the Republican presidential candidates (and Sarah Palin). The only one of those people who isn’t underwater with the public at large is … Herman Cain. And that’s presumably because so few people have heard of him, and most of those are probably Republicans.

    Here are the numbers (remember, this is for the population at large):

    Michele Bachmann: 19% favorable, 36% unfavorable
    Herman Cain: 14% favorable, 14% unfavorable
    Newt Gingrich: 18% favorable, 46% unfavorable
    Jon Huntsman: 9% favorable, 18% unfavorable
    Sarah Palin: 20% favorable, 62% unfavorable
    Ron Paul: 17% favorable, 31% unfavorable
    Rick Perry: 21% favorable, 28% unfavorable
    Mitt Romney: 25% favorable, 29% unfavorable
    Rick Santorum: 7% favorable, 18% unfavorable

    Even Republicans dislike Palin (36%-39%) and Paul (19%-32), as well as (not surprisingly) Huntsman (10%-21%). They barely like Gingrich (36%-34%) and Santorum (16%-10% — hey, maybe even they find him a tad sanctimonious and self-regarding). Ah, but they do love Perry (42%-8%), Cain (29%-9%), and (this surprises me a bit) Romney (45%-15%), and they’re quite fond of Bachmann (31%-19%).

    But I think the overall American response is significant — just about everyone’s underwater. That’s why Obama could still win this damn thing.

    Shorter Steve M.: “Obama’s a disaster, but with a little luck he’ll be reelected!”

  2. DandyTiger says:

    I think this is just a reflection that most people are fed up with government and both parties in general. So no one is liked. And of course some dislike, e.g., with Palin, comes from a successful campaign to discredit as well as their own fumbles.

    Question is, how will this translate as we get closer to the end of the primaries. Which Repub will win and will that person be able to get independents and conservative Dems. And of course, how will the economy be and how will these Obama scandals play out.

    On the Obama side, their only hope is that their campaign, that the Repubs are worse and scary and of course the race card, will work well enough. The Repubs have the economy on their side. Their main issue will be battling the race card and winning the middle.

    They both suck so bad I’d love to see a third party screw them. But I’m not holding my breath. We’re so fucked.

  3. ralphb says:

    The public is being sensible in that just about every politician deserves to be hated now. Polls, even nebulous favorability numbers, are worthless now. Elections are way too far out for even Obama’s hideous numbers to hold.

    At this same point in 2007, Rudy Giuliani was leading the GOP pack at 34% followed by Fred Thompson in second place with 23%.

  4. Jadzia says:

    78 percent of Dems still approve of this guy? Now *that’s* scary.

    • Mimi says:

      The number of self identified Democrats has shrunk and the number of Independents has increased. As with Obama’s favorability, people do not do a 180 degree switch from favorable to unfavorable, but go from favorable to neutral to negative. It’s the same from Dem to Indy and then possibly to voting Repub or staying home. The public is treated like a steel ball in pin ball machine being knocked, spun, and sunk. People feel battered and they are tired of it all.

  5. DandyTiger says:

    Of course the problem with the usual New Dem pundits analysis is they still don’t recognize, or can’t admit it anyway, there were every any problems with the ’08 primaries. So they can’t process disenfranchised Dems. Either you’re a Dem and of course are for Obama or you’re a Repub. Their only alternative is apathetic non voter. And sadly like with 2010, if things go really bad, they’ll have all sorts of very wrongheaded analysis of what happened.

  6. 1539days says:

    Obama got 9,522,083 more votes than McCain in 2008. Assuming that he doesn’t get a single convert in 2012 who didn’t vote for him in 2008, (which is a safe assumption) the Republicans need to gain votes or Obama needs to lose enough votes to add up to 5 million.

    • Based on his current polling, he’ll drop more than that number right now compared to his 2008 total, before even considering what happens on the Republican side.

  7. WMCB says:

    The thing they neglect to mention in trying to give themselves hope is that despite the fact that none of the R’s have really caught fire, and their numbers are not the greatest either, it’s not going to really matter.

    Incumbents don’t generally win if they are below 50% approval. Especially if they are well below. A challenger can weather somewhat iffy-er poll numbers, because in the end, the undecideds almost all go that way. They may not be certain that the challenger is going to be any better, but they already KNOW the incumbent sucks.

    When the incumbent sucks, people vote for change, even if they aren’t so sure what that “change” will be. I’ve been watching politics for a looooong time. Seen it happen too many times.

    Many R’s and I’s are withholding their approval, waiting to see how the field shakes out, if Sarah gets in, etc. They are not “getting behind” any R yet, and the number show that. But in the end, they will vote in droves for whoever the nominee is, even Romney. This is not going to be 2008, with many sitting out. R turnout will be huge. They want Obama GONE. All the R nominee has to do is get most Independents and even a sliver of Dems, and Obama is toast. Obama cannot afford ANY defections or hand-sitting. None. And he needs to keep Independents as well. Not gonna happen.

  8. Dario says:

    Most polls look at all voters, but Gallup uses likely voters. That’ poll gives Obama 39% approval. If other polls used likely voters, Obama’s approval numbers would be closer to 40% or below. About 70% of the voters say we’re heading the wrong track. The engineer of that train should have never been hired, and it will be easy to convince 70% of the people to choose a different engineer.

  9. Mary says:

    Notice they didn’t actually report the real sampling numbers—just said it was “within a margin of error.”

    For CBS and the NYT, that usually means it was skewed heavily towards Dems, and the real numbers for Obama are actually lower.

    True story.

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