States of Play 2012

Fixing this means changing the whole team

I thought this would be interesting to talk about. When Sarah Palin said she would not run for the GOP nomination, she also said this:

I believe that at this time I can be more effective in a decisive role to help elect other true public servants to office – from the nation’s governors to Congressional seats and the Presidency.

The Dem party is beyond redemption, in my opinion. It remains to be seen if the Tea Party can reform the GOP. How they do in 2012  will be a big metric.

So, what is up for 2012 apart from the White House?

Gubernatorial races. There are 11 States electing a governor in 2012. Wikipedia sums them up here. Of the 11, these are the ones which so far look like they may go either way: Montana, Missouri, New Hampshire, Washington, West Virginia. The impact I think, for all 11 states is voter turnout on election day. Voters who may feel unenthusiastic about the Presidential election may vote for the governor they want, and therefore have an up-ticket effect.

Senate races. There are 33 Senate seats in play in 2012 – 10 GOP, 21 Dem, and 2 Independents (Sanders & Lieberman). Jim DeMint has a handy interactive map here.

House races. 435 House Representative seats are up for election in 2012. The Cook Political Report predicts that of these 435, the Democrats have 24 seats and the Republicans have 32 seats in play (aka Lean or Toss-Up). A further 19 Dem seats and 35 Republican seats are not sure things (they are only listed as “Likely.”)

Tell us what you know or think of about these incumbents.

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22 Responses to States of Play 2012

  1. votermom says:

    Sen. Bob Casey (D-PA) endorsed Obama in 2008. He tries to run away from Obama now but I won’t cry if he loses his seat.

    • Lola-at-Large says:

      Especially Bib Casey. The Caseys were the biggest thorn inside the Democratic Party for the Clintons. Casey Sr. fumed for years after 1992 because that low-class, low-rent Clinton stole his aristocratic chance at the presidency. A curse on their entire house as far as I’m concerned. Because Jr. has kept the hate alive since his father died.

  2. DandyTiger says:

    For the VA senate seat being vacated by retiring Jim Webb, we have front runners Tim “Kiss Obama’s ring” Kaine and George “Macaca” Allen. What a bunch of losers. But Allen is so bad that I’ll easily vote for Kaine. Right now the polling shows Kaine and Allen to be tied.

    • yttik says:

      That really is a pitiful choice. My sympathies.

      • DandyTiger says:

        Despite Tim’s sucking up to Obama (aka, the Dem party machine establishment), I kind of like him. His problem will be of course as the past Dem party chairman, there are many, many sound bytes available of him praising Obama and his policies. He’s going to have a tough time. I give the edge to Macaca unfortunately. And that guy’s a fucking monster.

    • WMCB says:

      Gawd. Could there be two suckier choices? My sympathies.

      • thewizardofroz says:

        The NJ Governor’s race last year. Corzine (who stole all our Hillary votes and gave them to Obama at the convention) vs. Christie (Ugh!). No way was I voting for either of them. Instead, I voted for the independent candidate Chris Daggett.

        Roz in NJ/NYC

  3. DandyTiger says:

    For WV Gov race, Tomblin just won the special election handily. I suspect he’ll do the same next year in the regular election. Which is why everyone seems to put him in the “likely” win category. How could you not like someone named Earl Ray. 🙂

  4. myiq2xu says:

    I don’t think the Democrats are beyond redemption but it ain’t happening next year.

    Before the Democrats can start rebuilding they need to get rid of all the rot, corruption and dead wood. They need a bunch of fresh faces at the lower and middle levels so that they can develop their “farm-team” talent.

    There aren’t enough talented young players that would make good potential POTUS contenders 4-8-12 years down the road. After Hillary, who’s left?

    (She ain’t no spring chicken either)

  5. WMCB says:

    OT, but HOLY FUCK

    Read Issa’s latest letter to Holder. Issa has him by the balls, and knows it. No way he would sound this brash and confident if he did not have the goods on DOJ. Here’s a small piece, but read the whole thing. It’s damning.

    Dear Attorney General Holder:

    From the beginning of the congressional investigation into Operation Fast and Furious, the Department of Justice has offered a roving set of ever-changing explanations to justify its involvement in this reckless and deadly program. These defenses have been aimed at undermining the investigation. From the start, the Department insisted that no wrongdoing had occurred and asked Senator Grassley and me to defer our oversight responsibilities over its concerns about our purported interference with its ongoing criminal investigations. Additionally, the Department steadfastly insisted that gunwalking did not occur.

    Once documentary and testimonial evidence strongly contradicted these claims, the Department attempted to limit the fallout from Fast and Furious to the Phoenix Field Division of the Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms, and Explosives (ATF). When that effort also proved unsuccessful, the Department next argued that Fast and Furious resided only within ATF itself, before eventually also assigning blame to the U.S. Attorney’s Office in Arizona. All of these efforts were designed to circle the wagons around DOJ and its political appointees.

    To that end, just last month, you claimed that Fast and Furious did not reach the upper levels of the Justice Department. Documents discovered through the course of the investigation, however, have proved each and every one of these claims advanced by the Department to be untrue. It appears your latest defense has reached a new low. Incredibly, in your letter from Friday you now claim that you were unaware of Fast and Furious because your staff failed to inform you of information contained in memos that were specifically addressed to you. At best, this indicates negligence and incompetence in your duties as Attorney General. At worst, it places your credibility into serious doubt.

    You failed to own up to your responsibility to safeguard the American public by hiding behind “[a]ttorneys in [your] office and the Office of the Deputy Attorney General,” who you now claim did not bring this information to your attention. Holder Letter, supra note 1. As a result of your failure to act on these memos sent to you, nearly 500 additional firearms were purchased under Fast and Furious.

    The facts simply do not support any claim that Fast and Furious did not reach the highest levels of the Justice Department. Actually, Fast and Furious did reach the ultimate authority in the Department – you.

    http://pajamasmedia.com/tatler/2011/10/10/issa-to-holder-on-fast-and-furious-you-own-it/

  6. HELENK says:

    this picture will have a major effect on the eleciton. RIght now the democrats own this problem due to their policies for the last 6 years.
    No matter what dem runs he will have to answer for this

    really ugly picture unemployment roundup

    http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2011/10/huge-employment-chart-roundup/

  7. HELENK says:

    Jo4e the Plumber just filed papers to run for congress from Ohio. He is running as a republican.

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