Over at C4P, Sarah Palin supporters are still trying to figure out what the hell happened. C4Peep IsraeliCojones has been posting this theory, which fits events so neatly that I am quoting it even though it’s not TinFoil Tuesday yet:
I wish you would listen to my affectionate advice: stop torturing yourselves, because what happened is pretty simple. I will repost here what happened in the last days of September and will follow with a few points:
September 20: Palin within five points of Obama in new Marist poll
September 21: Beginning of the chatter about a Palin’s run as a third-party candidate (!).
September 22: Last GOP’s candidates debate: Perry’s flaming out after being wildly hyped.
September 24: Cain “unexpectedly” wins FL’s straw poll in a landslide. Duh.
September 26: Tea Party Nation founder endorses Gingrich (“He’s electable”). Duuuuh.
September 26: Sarah Palin Threatens to Sue ‘Rogue’ Book Publisher
September 27: Roger Ailes: Fox News is making a “course correction”
September 27: Palin’s “sudden silence”
September 27: Greta’s interview
September 28: Cain: “I couldn’t support Perry as the nominee.”
September 28: Rush: “I don’t think Palin is going to run”
September 30: The date comes to pass without a Palin’s announcement.
September 30: Florida moves its primary to January 31st.
September 30: Talks in NH about moving their primary too.
October 3: South Carolina moves its primary date to January 21st
October 4: News come out that a law firm linked to SarahPAC has been making early-state ballot inquiries
October 4: Christie not running
October 4: Georgette Mosbacher, the RNC Finance Co-Chair and big GOP fundraiser says: “Now we know who it is who will be our nominee” (Romney). No mention of Palin. She already knew.
October 5: Chatter about a Palin’s independent run, again (which, as expected, she shuts down).
October 5: Palin announces she’s not running.
1) Before September 20, Palin was running. She made her decision when she resigned and everybody was on board in the family (do you remember that she said once that she would one day tell all about that “Hell Yeah!” during this family reunion when she announced her resignation and what she intended to do. There is a sentence missing in GR, and it’s quite transparent). So she was running and everything she’s done since then spells it.
2) Palin knew that she was unbeatable in the primary and the general. The establishment knew it too.
3) Knowing that she was about to declare her run, they approached her with a deal (they’ve probably started those maneuvers since the beginning of September), that was in the end unacceptable for her (“I’m not for sale”).
4) She goes on Greta, rather fired up, and says that she doesn’t want to be shackled by a campaign and (I’m paraphrasing) to be driven to say what handlers, or donors or pundits want her to say instead of being free of speaking about the real problems America is facing, call it like she sees it, and initiate real change. And she repeats that she can win, and that she wouldn’t have gone that far in her thinking about running if she wasn’t convinced of that fact.
5) When she rejected their deal, they threatened to completely change the GOP’s primary schedule, in order to shut the door on her face. They probably also told her that they would do anything to get her defeated. And that they would made her life a living hell.
6) She thought about the feasibility of a campaign with a new schedule (her lawyers inquiring in the early States) and concluded that she couldn’t do it, especially since her own Party was determined to fight her tooth and nails.
7) Four days after the first change in the primary schedule, and following Christie’s predictable announcement, Mosbacher let everybody know that “they have their nominee” (Romney) as if Palin wasn’t even a factor.
8) So she announced that she wasn’t running for the GOP nomination.
My own (pure) speculations:
1) Rush is right when he says that the GOP establishment will try to wrap a very quick Romney win in the Primaries. Cain will be seen as potential VP, in order to fool the Conservative base.
2) Palin is divorcing from the GOP as it is now (a corrupt bastards club): she knows that she was stolen the nomination and the Presidency by those shenanigans and she won’t go down quietly. She won’t endorse anyone, above all not Romney, and won’t participate in anything related to these primaries. On the contrary, she will roam the country and continue to speak to as diversified audiences as possible and share her vision for America. I wouldn’t be surprised if she did that quite intensively, while the Clowns are busy ridiculing themselves a little more.
3) This disengagement from the Primaries is absolutely crucial for several reasons:
a) The shenanigans and the extent of corruption within the GOP will be exposed in a few bombshells; when it will become apparent that the fix was in even before any election took place, the base will go from disgusted to furious;
b) The rank-and-file Republicans and the Conservatives who were poo-poo-ing Palin at every turn are going to find out the hard way what a “life without Palin” really means and they are not going to like it.
c) The apparent “boycott” from so many blogs on the Right (as if we could buy that the most talked about woman in America and the only Conservative leader could become a non-entity simply by decree) shouldn’t sadden anyone here: it plays in her favor: she will be able to deploy her future strategy under the radar, since they all suppose that she doesn’t have any (lol).
d) Any “Draft Palin” movement must be completely separated from her.
5) As soon as Romney will win the nomination:
a) the Dems are going to destroy him and I mean “DESTROY”. From the get-go, with a disgusted and demobilized base that despises him to the core, as well as the GOP Machine, he will be polled as the loser against Obama (which he will be anyway if Palin doesn’t enter the General).
b) the “Draft Palin” Movement will grow exponentially.
c) she will start endorsing and campaigning for the Senate and Congress.
6) As a last resort, she will then be approached by Romney to get on the ticket as VP; she will tell him to go f*ck himself (no she won’t, she’ll say “thanks but no, thanks”, but a girl can dream, no?)
7) If the Draft Palin Movement is important enough, she’ll enter the General as a Reaganite Republican to defeat Barack Obama, which for her, has always been the goal, as opposed to her corrupted Party.
And she will win.
You’ve read it first. Keep the faith. Despair is not an option.
PS: By the way, I’m rather surprised that some here seem to think that Palin would give up so easily on Country. Not that I don’t respect their opinions, but come on: anyone imagining that she would go fishing while Obama is on the verge of winning… It’s not even conceivable.
The first item 3 that I bolded sounds a lot like what many of us think happened to Hillary, right? Knowing she would run, in W’s 2nd term the TPTB sounded her out to see if she would be amenable to their agenda. When she told them to take a hike, they started marketing a junior Senator as the Most Historic Suit ever. The rest is shitstory.
Back to today, this also ties in with people wondering what the heck is going on with Perry. Has the establishment also told Perry to throw the match or else?
I don’t know if the nascent Draft Palin or Write-In Palin movements will gain traction. I just know this – Romney and Obama are both establishment anointed picks. They will be mirrors of each other in policy and policy effects. So anything that attempt to thwart either or both of them is worth supporting – whether it’s Draft Palin or Draft Hilary or everyone just jump at the same time and cause an earthquake.