She Who Shall Not Be Tamed

The media and the entrenched wing of the Republican Party have decided that Mitt Romney will be the nominee for 2012. No others need apply. This may be part of the “it’s his turn” sentiment of the party, but that could apply to Sarah Palin as well. That rule gets confusing, too. Mitt lost the nomination in 2008 and it went to McCain who lost the nomination in 2000. Bush 41 won as an appendage of Ronald Reagan and lost on his own record in 1992. Ronald Reagan himself got pretty screwed by the party. He ran in 1968 as a Goldwater Republican, then lost to one of the most shameful presidents in history, who lost the general election in 1960. But I guess it was Nixon’s turn. Reagan then lost the nomination to one of the most embarrassing presidents in history, who won because he was Nixon’s appointed Vice President, then pardoned him. Only George W. Bush bucked the trend of paying dues and he got two terms. Losing the presidential race does not qualify you to be president.

Still, a win is a win. The Republicans have won a lot of elections with retreads. The Romney strategy was likely formulated in the summer of 2008. McCain would choose someone like Joe Lieberman for vice president, get outspent beyond belief and lose a couple of big swing states. In the next two years, Democrats would spend like crazy and the Republicans would win enough Senate seats for a proper filibuster. The Democrats would keep the House and taxes would get raised. Then Romney rolls in as the only alternative to a Democratic president and Congress on a conservative platform of economic sanity.

But a funny thing happened on the way to 2012. People got tired of waiting for the political parties to save them. They found allies in the decimated Republican Party and turned the House red. In turn, the Republicans didn’t seem to know how to use them for their purposes. Now, those same people looking to green-light Romney are scared of the Tea Party wing they relied on in 2010because they seem to shift from candidate to candidate and never settle for on Mitt Romney.

The GOP contenders have either disparaged the Tea Party, (Huntsman) tried to bend them to their agenda (Bachmann) or pandered to them when possible (the others). Only one prominent Republican has gotten what the Tea Party is about from Day 1. That’s Sarah Palin.

Bachmann, Cain and to some extent Perry have been stalking horses for Palin. They rise and fall depending on how badly they fit the mold. I still don’t know why Palin isn’t running, but I suspect it may have to do with the Republican nomination more than the general election. She could easily get 40% to Romney’s 25% and take a number of delegates. Then there would be a convention fight which she would likely lose. If she won, the party insiders have shown in 2010 that they will sit home rather than let a Tea Partier be elected.

Sarah Palin is reloading. If the Tea Party is strong enough to keep victory away from Romney, she will keep her endorsement from him. If he is nominated, she will work to elect enough down ticket Republicans to effectively neuter President Obama. Sometimes it takes a few election cycles before people are ready to nominate the right woman.

About 1539days

I'm like a word a day calendar for executive disasters.
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35 Responses to She Who Shall Not Be Tamed

  1. DeniseVB says:

    Isn’t Nov 1 the deadline to declare? Wonder if there will be any surprises tomorrow? 😉

  2. Anthony says:

    “If the Tea Party is strong enough to keep victory away from Romney, she will keep her endorsement from him. If he is nominated, she will work to elect enough down ticket Republicans to effectively neuter President Obama. Sometimes it takes a few election cycles before people are ready to nominate the right woman.”

    Couldn’t agree more. Although I’m not exactly smitten with Mittens, I will vote for him.

    One thing I can give BO credit for is that he’s completely changed my thoughts about voting.

    I live in NYC. New York is (indelibly?) blue, so even if the GOP nominates a total shitbag, I’ll most likely vote for them. Knowing that they have no chance of winning NY electoral votes, at least the margin will be slimmer.

    Good post.

  3. DeniseVB says:

    OT: Irony alert. Apple, Inc is clear cutting, and burning, over a hundred acres in NC for a , wait for it, solar panel plant. In the meantime, belching smoke into the air must really be helping the polar bears.

    http://www2.hickoryrecord.com/news/2011/oct/25/land-being-cleared-apple-solar-farm-ar-1538274/

    Apple Inc. is preparing to build a solar farm near its data center in Maiden. While this environmentally green measure may be exciting for those in the tech world, it’s anything but thrilling for the residents in the town.

    For the past several days, residents in Maiden and many people driving on US 321 have seen a thick cloud of smoke surrounding Startown Road.

    Sweet little local paper, I miss this style of reporting. Wonder how much the administration has belched into Apple? /sarc

  4. 1539days says:

    Ironically, Palin is polarizing within her own party more than among the general population. If she did get the nomination, I think the old guard GOP would blame her for losing when they decided to stay home and torpedo the general election. When Palin “quits,” it’s worse for her enemies than when she pushed forward. She resigned from her post as Alaska Oil and Gas Conservation Commission when she found it filled with corruption. She went on to defeat the governor who appoint her.

    When Palin resigned from the governor’s office in 2009, she was free to become the Republican ambassador to the Tea Party, something that kept the movement from third-party obscurity. She might be a maverick, but running for president this year is going to take a lot of money and some amount of dirty dealing. Romney excels at both tasks.

    This is a character assassination election. Romney is going to have to skip the ideas and make Obama look like a monster to win. Palin can wait until 2020 if she needs to. She’ll only be 56 by then.

    • DeniseVB says:

      Palin is polarizing within her own party more than among the general population.

      Ya think? 😀 It all started when she beat the incumbent gov, then cleaned the AK GOP of corruption, some went to jail. Brought Big Oil to it’s knees and giving her citizens a little bit of that extra change. Settled the Exxon Valdez lawsuit after pending for 20 years, with restitution going to the fishing villages they destroyed.

      You betcha’. 😉

  5. HELENK says:

    if the republicans were smart they would pay attention and listen to Sarah. She represents the people both parties forgot about.
    remember the silent majority?

    http://pjmedia.com/vodkapundit/2011/10/25/shop-talk-the-ows-edition/

  6. votermom says:

    OT: funny tweet

  7. votermom says:

    Saw this at hillary is 44:

    October 27, 2011
    Clinton: Justice Dept. didn’t seek State Dept.’s permission for “gunwalking” operation
    By Tolleah Price

    Secretary of State Hillary Clinton Thursday denied having any advance knowledge of a controversial program run by federal officials that allowed thousands of guns to be smuggled from the U.S. to Mexico in an effort to trace them to leaders of drug cartels before the program’s existence became public.

    She said the Justice Department did not “request coordination” or give “any kind of notice or heads up” about “Operation Fast and Furious,” the ATF operation which put thousands of guns in the hands of Mexican drug cartels. The weapons may have been used in the murder of Border Patrol Agent Brian Terry.

    During the hearing before the House Foreign Affairs Committee, Rep. Connie Mack (R-Fla.) asked Clinton at what point did the State Department learn about Operation Fast and Furious.

    “My recollection is that I learned about it from the press, that’s my recollection,” Clinton said.

    Mack said the Justice Department was required to receive a written waiver from the State Department in order to export arms to the drug cartels.

    There is no evidence the Justice Department sought a waiver, Clinton said, but she offered to investigate the matter.

    Clinton is the latest cabinet member of the Obama administration to face questions surrounding the operation.

    Members of Congress investigating the scandal on Wednesday asked FBI director Robert Mueller to clear up questions about evidence found at the murder scene of Agent Terry.

    He was shot and killed near the Mexican border on Dec. 14, 2010. Two weapons recovered at the scene were traced to “Operation Fast and Furious.”

    http://www.cbsnews.com/8301-503544_162-20126833-503544/clinton-justice-dept-didnt-seek-state-dept.s-permission-for-gunwalking-operation/

    🙂

  8. yttik says:

    I’ll be following Palin wherever she leads. I think she’s done a fabulous job of inspiring people, helping people to believe in politics again.

  9. Cj says:

    My only issue with this sentiment is that by 2016, everything could change. The GOP has a strong bench of conservatives in B. Jindal and P Ryan in addition to RINOs Christie and Jeb Bush. Everything is falling into place for her in 2012. Weak Obama, weaker GOP field and folks on both sides of the political spectrum sick of corruption, cronism and business as usual. A reformer is needed and needed NOW. Only Palin fits that bill. IF she has any desire to ever be POTUS she has nothing to loose in my opinion… running and not winning doesn’t hurt the “brand”.. I believe not running does.. I pray for a miracle and a re-consider.

    • 1539days says:

      On a completely Sarah Palin based line of reasoning I would agree. Running puts her on that back bench for 2016. I think running gives her a certain level of experience. The problem is that some Republicans who have been anointing Romney since 2008 will stay home rather than see Palin elected. She would lose a couple of early primaries to Romney and then might pick up steam. By then, her campaign would be broke. If she loses, she will be forced to endorse Romney or take the blame for the Republicans losing.

      Romney has a good chance of losing if he doesn’t do a good job. If that happens, Palin needs to be working the Senate races to make sure the Republicans get those last 4-5 seats they need for a majority on committees. As a private citizen, Romney may ask for her endorsement but not campaign for him, which will be fine with her. This presidential election would be toxic even if Palin did run and I think she’s better off working behind the scenes.

  10. section9 says:

    Good piece.

    I like the idea of Palin getting in sooner, but she decided that the GOP wanted to have its own Viking Funeral.

    Good on them, then. However, I don’t think we’ve heard the last of Palin in 2012.

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