Iowa matters (except when it doesn’t)

We’re about three weeks away from one of the most overrated events in politics – the Iowa caucuses. Every four years the citizens of Iowa wallow in the attention from being “first in the nation” to vote in our presidential primary process. Iowa still uses the “caucus” which is an arcane process I don’t understand and won’t even attempt to describe.

Sometimes they get it right just as sometimes a blind acorn finds a squirrel. Other times not so much. Here are the recent past winners:

D- Uncommitted
R- Nixon
D- Uncommitted
R- Ford
D- Carter
R- Bush
D- Mondale
R- Reagan
D- Gephardt
R- Dole
D- Harkin
R- Bush
D- Clinton
R- Dole
D- Gore
R- Bush
D- Kerry
R- Bush
D- Obama
R- Huckabee

In 1992 Bill Clinton finished a distant 3rd with only 3% of the votes. Four years ago John McCain finished in 4th place. Even when they pick the eventual winner they don’t always pick the right candidate.

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15 Responses to Iowa matters (except when it doesn’t)

  1. votermom says:

    I hope Ron Paul wins.
    Just because that would shut people up about Iowa being so bloody important.

    • DeniseVB says:

      I’ve seen several predictions Ron Paul will win Iowa because of the split anti-Newt Romney votes. He’s also got the most boots on the ground and they know how to use them 😀

      • Lulu says:

        If the Occupii show up they may have to. If the Iowa caucus voters all came in on tractors they could pull around the Occupii/SEIU/Obama for Obama buses. Kind of a Republican caucus tractor pull thing. Nothing that interesting ever happens.

    • yttik says:

      Ron Paul came very close to winning Wa state in 2008. A couple of other candidates actually threatened to sue the state Republicans over it. He definitely won a few counties with huge majorities, like 78%.

      I don’t think Ron Paul will be the nominee, but his popularity definitely grows when people are fed up with the two parties and right now people are really fed up.

  2. votermom says:

    Hot air (or Hot gas, as Perry likes to call em) is having another open registration tomorrow.

  3. fif says:

    I do not understand why this one state, with a strong evangelical influence, has such a disproportionate impact on everyone else’s eventual choice for president. “It’s tradition” is nonsense. What about the other states and their right to weigh in? Rotating early states is the answer. Why isn’t there any effort to make a change?

    This made my stomach turn. Please tell me his numbers and logic are way off (then again, the alternatives are profoundly disappointing):

    Obama: Headed for a Landslide?

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