The calm before the storm

Four years ago I was uncharacteristically optimistic. Eight years of Bush/Cheney lawbreaking were coming to an end. The only question was which Democrat would be the next occupant of the Oval office. I felt like there was no way we could lose.

Boy, was I wrong! I switched back to pessimism and I’ve been pretty accurate in my predictions ever since.

Tonight they will hold the Iowa caucuses. I’m not gonna try and predict the result. I expect that Barack Obama will be the Democratic nominee next November. I don’t know who the GOP nominee will be, nor whether they will win or lose in November.

The single biggest difference between Obama or the GOP nominee winning next November is that if the Republican wins the Democrats will finally resume making token efforts at opposing the conservative/Wall Street agenda. I would consider that an improvement.

John W. Smart:

Almost nothing shocks me in politics. But the wholesale degradation of the Left in the Obama years remains an eye opener. And a depressant. It’s not Obama’s fault directly that Occupy became such a joke immediately. But his presence has given cover. Just today OLA had a protest parade after the Rose parade. Think about how stupid that is. There are BoAs on every third corner in LA. Any Occupy protests at any one of the branches? Nope. A month and change after they were evicted the best OLA could come up with was to march pointlessly down Colorado Blvd. as a kind of snide, childish stunt. The Rose Parade? Really? Last time I looked the flower and float queens had nothing to do with the financial meltdown. Everyone gets the joke that is Occupy – except Occupy. I’m sure the 16 people who saw the march were deeply engaged before heading off to Hooters for a New Years drink. Good God, I could organize a more useful movement from a phone booth in Fresno with 3 quarters. Yet, can anyone imagine that movement disintegrating in 6 weeks if Bush was President? Hell no. 50,000 people would show up to protest bank malfeasance every week. I’ll predict right now that 50,000 will the month after President Romney is inaugurated. Are we REALLY so dumb and empty that the D and the R are all we see? Obama has a D! He can’t be a power mad prick!

You can do one of four things on election day next November:

1. Vote for Obama

2. Vote for the Republican

3. Vote for an alternative candidate who has no chance of winning

4. Not vote/vote downticket only

For most of us it doesn’t really matter what we do. I live in California. If Big Smoggy is “in play” next November, Obama is already gonna lose in a landslide. On the other hand, if the election is close and you live in a swing state like Florida your vote could be one of a handful that tip the balance for the entire nation.

If that’s the case, choose wisely. Anyone who thinks there would not have been any difference between Bush and Al Gore in 2000 is a fucking moron.

On the gripping hand, no matter where you live you may be able to help choose which GOPer wins the Republican nomination. That situation remains to be seen.

BTW – California moved up its primary to Super Duper Tuesday in 2008 so we could have more influence in the nomination process. Imagine if we had waited until June like we usually do. We would have reached the end of May with a virtual tie between Hillary and Barack and the single largest chunk of delegates still up for grabs.

What would have happened when Hillary won the state by 9 points but the DNC announced Obama was the nominee?

I see an asshat taking the oath of office . . .

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26 Responses to The calm before the storm

  1. Dario says:

    There were a few big states that Hillary won at the end, and it didn’t make any difference because the b*tch wouldn’t quit, and so the DNC made her quit and confirmed for everyone to see that Obama was the chosen one.

    Now it’s Romney’s turn to go to the WH. Elections are a show for those who want to believe there’s a working democracy in this country.

    • indigogrrl says:

      I believe in my heart that the real eason Hillary kept going was to show that the system is rigged. She was / is the only candidate that could have done that against such tremendous pressure. She still had some small measure of protection being a former first lady and a senator… married to the most popular president in my lifetime not to mention all the insider knowledge that brings.

      Come Nov, Im going to vote ABO because of the slim chance that viting actually matters anymore. But Im not optimistic.

  2. Lulu says:

    I am watching the Congressional races. The media always concentrates on the WH horse race crap. The Republican house is already on to Obama and starting to stick things into laws such as the defense appropriations bill saying the FCC cannot grant his cronies cell phone licenses over the objection of the US Air Force. This is extraordinary. It is truly unprecedented that the Congress would have to tell a WH that they cannot fuck up a centerpiece technology (GPS) of our national defense to reward their contributors and co-conspirators. If the empty suit Obama cannot pay pack his debts he is dead meat even if he wins the election. He is going to have trouble raising money this year because he cannot guarantee that favors will be paid back without the interference of the Congress and the bureauracy/military. Give Obama or Democrats big money and get investigated is not a great sales pitch. Just as in 2010 Obama is only going to be concerned with himself and let the Congressional Dems hang.

  3. myiq2xu says:

    Some people find this ad offensive:

    • elliesmom says:

      Count me as not offended. Maybe if I was a drag queen who thought I could pass on the street for a woman I might be. When I was on a trip to Savannah with my girlfriends, we went to see “The Lady Chablis” and his cohorts. The show was a lot of fun. The guys on stage poked fun at women and our foibles. The crowd was friendly. Maybe one or two of them could have “passed” for women on the street, but for the most part they looked like guys in women’s clothes who were wearing a lot of make-up. I enjoyed the show. If the men who were performing were up there working out some deep psychological need to be women and felt “left out of the club” because they don’t menstruate, they hid it pretty well.

    • guest says:

      The ad is mean spirited and hurts the transgender character where it most does.

      • elliesmom says:

        Is it a transgendered character, though? I saw the character as an over the top drag queen. The transgendered women I’ve worked with dress pretty conservatively and wear much less make-up. The idea is NOT to look like drag queen.

  4. Will PA be a swing state? And how do I force myself to cast a vote against the fraud if the R is going to be just as bad?
    Decisions, decisions. Well at least I have one down- NOT voting Obama, ever.

  5. DeniseVB says:

    One of the many million Iowa articles I’ve read claims over half of Ron Paul’s supporters are Dems, cultists and anarchists. If that’s true, do you think they really believe in his message, or he’s the only one Obama can beat ?

    All that time and energy, why couldn’t they put up a primary challenger to Obama? Surely there’s a better Dem for the job.

  6. guest says:

    What would have happened when Hillary won the state by 9 points but the DNC announced Obama was the nominee?

    Which is why they moved up their primary.. You have to give the crooks their due.

  7. Lulu says:

    I think Dr Congressman Paul is getting the buildup so they can knock him down by the MSM and talking heads. I think people flirting with voting/donating/volunteering for him do not know much about him and have only caught video clips when he was lucid. It is Herman Cain all over again. The MSM like to do this to sell advertising and make themselves feel superior when they can point out he is a loon and so are the voting public for listening to him for five minutes when in minute six he says something batshit crazy. Paul is Don Quixote on a quest to save the constitution.

  8. yttik says:

    I’m not feeling the calm before the storm, I’m looking at all the devastation after the storm. I’ve seen so many people lose their homes, their businesses. It’s really sad, where I live we have empty neighborhoods now, empty schools. We’re at war with several countries, we’ve got indefinite detention going on, we’ve just executed a couple of US citizens, the economy is collapsing. Seriously, how could 2012 not be better? How could we elect worst leadership? I don’t believe we can. Things can only get better.

  9. DandyTiger says:

    I’m holding my nose and voting ABO. It’s a protest vote. I’m liberal. To me, I don’t see the difference between say Romney and Obama. So I want to just mess with the system. Looks like in VA I don’t have much choice in the primary if I want to vote R. But VA will likely make a difference in the general. That little bit of possible effect will make me happy.

  10. DandyTiger says:

    Great quote from Smart. He nails it.

  11. Stupid pundit moment just now: “whether you like it or not, he got healthcare done.”. Um, well, if you don’t like it, that’s not a good thing. What idiots.

    Just heard some new Republican talking points. One I liked was this president is only about plasticine pageantry. Cracked me up. But a good one actually. Obama is rather plastic and just does his show speeches. Wonder if we’ll see some more Styrofoam this time around.

  12. myiq2xu says:

    Palin delivers political coup de grâce to Bachmann

    What goes around comes around. Michele Bachmann hired Ed Rollins as campaign manager last spring and the first thing he did was trash Sarah Palin.

    Bachmann let the Rollins’ comments hang out there for a while and then went on TV to say what good friends she was with Palin. Bachmann supporters also spread false rumors over the summer that Palin would endorse her. Bachmann’s entire summer strategy was to get in Palin’s political face to keep Palin out of the race while claiming to be the heiress to the Palin base.

    So now that Bachmann is on her political deathbed, Palin delivered a political coup de grâce yesterday, announcing that it was not Bachmann’s time and that Bachmann should not waste more money on further campaigning:

    “As for Michelle Bachmann. She has a lot to offer, also, but I don’t think it is her time this go around. And I believe that unless she, too, wants to spend her own money or borrowing money and perhaps go into debt. Which heaven forbid, you do that to your family? Perhaps she is one, too, who would start saying ‘supporters of mine, why don’t we coalesce around one of the other candidates and let’s move together as a team to get that right primary candidate chosen?’

    I always had the feeling that Bachmann was being used.

    • DandyTiger says:

      Backmann was basically hired by the party machine to help Romney by keeping Palin out.

      I suspect the main reason she may hang on longer is because of that statement from Palin a couple of weeks or so ago where she said it’s still not too late for someone to enter the race. Must have scared them shitless.

      And then yesterday, a couple of funny things happened. One is that Newt said he’s like her as VP or in some cabinet position, esp. one that is oil related because of the things she did in AK. The other is that she sort of kind of hinted that perhaps Trump running as a third party wasn’t so unreasonable if the wrong candidate is selected, and she sort of kind of hinted that she could be part of that. Perhaps some reading between the lines from me, but that’s the impression I got. In other words, Palin is not going away and his still a thorn in the side of the party machine that worked really hard to destroy her. She might get payback yet. Careful who you fuck with.

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