Gingrich leads Romney on 1st night of tracking

Newt Gingrich led Mitt Romney 34-28 in PPP’s South Carolina polling last night, the first of what will be three nights of tracking. Ron Paul at 15%, Rick Santorum at 14%, Rick Perry at 5%, and Buddy Roemer at 3% round out the field.

This is not a case of Romney imploding. His support has been pretty steady in the 28-30% range in our South Carolina polling so far. But Gingrich has risen from 23% to 34% over the last two weeks, benefiting from declining support for Santorum and also from undecided voters moving into his camp.

It’s clear that the debate Monday night did a lot to help Gingrich’s prospects in the state. 56% of voters say they watched it, and with those folks Gingrich’s lead over Romney is 43-27. Romney still has a 29-22 advantage on Gingrich with those who didn’t tune in.

Gingrich is starting to consolidate his support with some of the more conservative parts of the South Carolina electorate. He has a 50-18 advantage on Romney with Tea Party voters. He’s up 39-23 with those describing themselves as ‘very conservative.’ And he even has a 37-20 advantage with evangelicals.

Gingrich is clearly flying high. The big question now is whether ABC’s interview with his ex-wife tonight will stifle all this momentum. For instance, will his strong support from evangelicals remain intact after they hear accusations that he wanted an ‘open marriage?’


Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich has now surged ahead of Mitt Romney in the final Rasmussen Reports survey of the South Carolina Republican Primary race with the vote just two days away.

The latest telephone survey of Likely GOP Primary Voters in the state finds Gingrich with 33% support to Romney’s 31%. Two days ago, before the last debate, it was Romney by 14 percentage points.

Texas Congressman Ron Paul now runs third with 15% of the vote, followed by former U.S. Senator Rick Santorum at 11%. Paul’s support is steady while Santorum’s support has dropped five points since Monday. At the beginning of the month, just after Santorum’s strong showing in the Iowa caucuses, he ran second to Romney with 24% of the vote.

Newt was here before, but the the GOP establishment and the establishment media rose up to smite him down. But he’s been left for dead before, and now here he is again.

So what changed?

This entry was posted in 2012 GOP Primary, Newt Gingrich and tagged , . Bookmark the permalink.

29 Responses to Newtmentum?

  1. myiq2xu says:

    I guess we’re gonna be watching the debate tonight.

  2. Three Wickets says:

    @JesseRodriguez: NBC’s Andrea Mitchell reports Romney’s internal poll numbers in SC show him behind Gingrich for the first time

  3. DandyTiger says:

    The entire Obama campaign infrastructure from their OWS based campaign arm of 99% vs. Romney’s 1% to all their recent ads and work has all been designed around Romney. All of that effort and work and money will be for nothing if the nominee isn’t Romney.

    By the way, I’ll say it again, my view is there is zero chance Romney can beat Obama. Zero. There are a lot of reasons for that, one being that the king makers in the Republican party machine want Obama like they did in ’08.

  4. Rocky Hussein Squirrel says:

    Rick Perry endorses Newt Gingrich

  5. DandyTiger says:

    I’m totally loving how hardly anyone in MSM is mentioning Palin. A measure of her power all by itself.

  6. Newt sucks so bad that it would be the worse punishment for Obama and the Obots if it were Newt that beat him. That’s my dream. Is that sick of me? Wait, don’t answer that.

  7. HELENK says:

    whether or not, you like Newt, he can get his zingers across

    comments on backtrack’s disney speech

  8. votermom says:

    LOL. 2 hrs after I tweeted this, Mitt called Santorum to congratulate him.

  9. gram cracker says:

    Newt’s new campaign theme song.

  10. HELENK says:

    the National Barack Channel posting story about Newt’s daughter having a part time janitor job when she was 13. Says she broke the law

    • There’s some hard core journalism. /snark

    • myiq2xu says:

      I’m pretty sure the statute of limitations has run on that.

      • HELENK says:

        I hope so. They would of had a field day with my son.
        When he was about 8 years old, he wanted a dollar. i told he to go earn it. I thought he would help a neighbor clean his yard. Instead, he and the kid down the street found playboy magizines and sold the centerfolds to some teenagers for 50 cents a piece.

        • DeniseVB says:

          My kids babysat and mowed lawns at 12, where were the child labor laws to protect them? LOL. Then at 14, I GAVE permission for them to work fast food/busboy type positions (just couldn’t clear tables with liquor on them). Hated that, then when on at 15 to become certified lifeguards so they could spend the rest of their dependent summer lives in high school and college to sit on their beach butts, get killer tans and make $12/hr. I’m a horrible mother, because we certainly weren’t poor. Neither were they the sharpest scholastic knives in the drawer, but managed to go on to become Un-dependent. Winning!

        • myiq2xu says:

          I made my kids spend a summer picking tomatoes.

          They never complained about school after that.

  11. yttik says:

    “So what changed?”

    You betcha. A few weeks ago, she gave Santorum a bump. Now it’s Newt’s turn.

  12. trixta says:

    Aside from going after Bill Clinton and his irritating voice, I just can’t stand the thought of seeing a President Gingrich standing in a line up of living Presidents. It’s bad enough having GWB and BO in the President’s Club!

  13. myiq2xu says:

    Exclusive: 100 tea party leaders to announce support for Newt

    The Daily Caller has learned that 100 tea party leaders from 25 states will announce Thursday that they are supporting Republican presidential candidate Newt Gingrich and will form a coalition called Tea Partiers With Newt.

    The news comes as signs appear that tea partiers here in South Carolina, which holds a primary Saturday, may be coalescing around Gingrich.

    “My sense is there is a growing coalition behind Newt Gingrich,” Joe Dugan, who leads the state’s chapter of Tea Party Patriots, told TheDC.

    Who is it they call the Tea Party Queen?

Comments are closed.