Barring something unforeseen and unprecedented, one of two men will be taking the oath of office next January 20th. It will be either Barack Obama or Mitt Romney. Either way, the next four years will not be pretty. The choice before us is not good vs. better or even good vs. bad. We have to choose between bad and worse.
By “we” I mean “you”. I won’t be voting for either man. I live in California and if the race here is close enough that my vote could make a difference then Mitt Romney will already be winning in a landslide. I will cast my ballot for a no-hope 3rd-party candidate or write in some clown.
Right now the election is too close to call. The Electoral College math is such that most states will not be in play next November. Very likely the race will come down to a handful of states, any one of which could tip the balance one way or another. I don’t live in one of those states. But if I did and I were asked to cast the tie-breaking vote, I would choose Mitt Romney.
Let me explain why.
Barack Obama’s flaws are numerous and have been discussed here at length. He is temperamentally unsuited for the job and morally unfit. The only thing that has changed from four years ago is he now has experience. It hasn’t helped.
Obama is both corrupt and incompetent. He is a narcissist and a sociopath. He shows no sign of a conscience or any deeply help moral principles. He is divisive. The content of his character is bad.
Mitt Romney has executive experience in both private business and in government. He has proven himself competent at business, his record in government is less distinguished. He is no ideologue or religious fanatic. He reminds me of George H. W. Bush – a country-club Republican from the northeast.
The problem with Romney is more external than internal. I don’t see him opposing a GOP-led Congress. (Right now it looks like the Republicans will maintain control of the House and regain control of the Senate.) But then I doubt that a lame-duck Obama will put up much of a fight either. If Obama is reelected Social Security and Medicare are in mortal danger.
The GOP has been after Social Security and Medicare for decades, but they remain the third-rail of electoral politics. In order to kill them they need a Democrat to hold the knife. Barack Obama is that Democrat.
If President Romney is elected the Democrats will wake up and remember how much they love Social Security and Medicare and how much they hate the abuse of executive power.
The Democratic party has become ossified and corrupt. Obama is a symptom of the disease. Getting rid of him will not get rid of the problem. Before we can rebuild the Democratic party we must get rid of the rot and corruption. It will not be an overnight process.
The voters like variety. After a few years of letting the Democrats run things they switch to the Republicans. If recent history is any guide, a second term for Obama would make 2016 a favorable year for the GOP.
On the other hand, if Romney is elected with a GOP-led Congress behind him, the conditions are more favorable for a Democratic resurgence in 2014 and 2016 – similar to what took place in 2006 and 2008.
Let’s assume for a moment that Hillary decided to run in 2016. Which scenario would be better for her – running to replace Obama or running against an incumbent Romney?
If Obama is reelected Hillary will be forced to defend his record. He will be an anchor on her candidacy, dragging her down. She would be a much stronger candidate running against Romney’s reelection.
Although I used Hillary as an example, the same would be true of any Democrat.
Like I said at the beginning of this post, the next four years are gonna be ugly no matter who wins. The Democratic party needs rebuilding. We might as well bite the bullet and get it over with now.