In today’s Gallup, Mitt Romney has a significant lead over President Obama among likely voters: seven points. Romney is at 52 percent to Obama’s 45 percent.
So what’s going on? I talked to Frank Newport, Gallup’s editor-in-chief, who warned that poll watchers should be careful to remember that Gallup’s daily number is an average of seven days. “It takes a while for any impact, in say the debate Tuesday night, to percolate through,” Newport says. “I think we’re just still seeing the positive enthusiasm on the part of the Romney people that came out at the first debate, and I think it’s too early to tell what’s going to happen” as a result of the second debate.
I’m not a bean counter or a number cruncher so I’ll leave that to others. My basic rule of not trusting polls still remains in effect. But I will point out that this poll covers both the first presidential debate and the match-up between Paul Ryan and Joe Biden.
So what does this mean?
The only poll that really matters is the one on November 6th.