Mental Masturbation


It’s only been a week and I’m already getting burned out on election postmortems. Every warm body with a keyboard and a internet connection is telling us what happened and more importantly what it all means.

Here is what last week’s results mean:

1. Barack Obama will be POTUS for four more years.

2. The GOP will control the House of Representatives for at least two more years.

3. The Democrats will control the Senate for at least two more years, but they will lack a filibuster-proof majority.

4. The GOP will control a majority of the governorships.

5. Marijuana will be legal in two states (but it’s still illegal under federal law).

That’s it. That’s all the results mean. There is no deeper meaning, no lesson to be learned.

Barack Obama won a very close race. Even if you think he stole the election (I’m pretty sure he cheated but not so sure it mattered) you have to admit the race was close enough to make stealing it possible. Out of about 120 million votes cast the difference was less than 1%, and about 450,000 votes in 4 key states would have changed the outcome. Both sides each spent over a billion dollars on trying to win the White House, but even fewer people voted than in previous years.

We can sit here playing What If and Coulda-Woulda-Shoulda until the cows come home, but it still won’t change anything. Besides, there really are no clear answers. Keep in mind that hindsight isn’t always 20/20 – yes, Mitt Romney could have done things differently, but that doesn’t mean that he would have fared better if he had.

In this election every possible strategy had pluses and minuses. If Romney had been more aggressive in attacking Obama on some issues that might indeed have won him some more votes, but it would likely have lost him some others as well. The truth is we will never know for sure.

History tells us that 2014 should be a good year for Republicans. That’s because the party holding the White House usually loses seats in Congress in off-year elections, especially in the 6th year of an administration. But that’s really just a trend, not a rule that is carved in stone.

The biggest factors in 2014 and 2016 will be the economy and whether we are at peace or at war. But even then how those factors affect those elections will hinge on public perceptions as to which side deserves credit and/or blame for the situations as they exist then. (In 2002 war was popular, in 2006 it was not.)

If the voters are happy in 2014 chances are they will reelect incumbents. But if they are unhappy they might give the GOP the Senate or they might give the House back to the Democrats.

As for 2016, chances are the economy will have improved by then, regardless of what happens in Washington. But Obama won’t be running for reelection (never again praise Jeebus!) so it’s hard to predict how the economy will affect the election. Reagan’s popularity helped GHW Bush win in 1988, but Clinton’s popularity wasn’t enough to put Gore over the top in 2000.

My prediction:

1. The GOP will again hold the White House one day. Then the Democrats will eventually take it back. The same goes for Congress, and so forth and so on until the end of time.



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78 Responses to Mental Masturbation

  1. driguana says:

    Do we need to add a few more to your list? Like…Obamacare is now the law of the land. And, there will continue to be violence in the Middle East.

  2. carol haka says:

    Who is leaking all the FBI information? 👿 I kid!

  3. swanspirit says:

    It now turns out that Natalie Khawam, sister of Jill Kelley – the woman who received peeved emails from CIA Director David Petraeus’ girlfriend, Paula Broadwell – once dated Florida Governor Charlie Crist. Khawam, who was divorced last year, also garnered letters of personal support from Petraeus and four star General John Allen – a man with whom she exchanged some 20,000 to 30,000 emails, many of them reportedly “flirtatious.”

    This keeps getting better and better.http://www.breitbart.com/Big-Government/2012/11/13/Khawam-Crist?utm_source=twitterfeed&utm_medium=twitter

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  5. wyntre says:

    More nuttiness in no particular order
    ***********************************************************
    Jennifer Griffin, on the Shep Smith broadcast right now, has just raised the possibility that the reason the FBI (which has originally said the investigation was complete), is now saying it’s an ongoing investigation, is that they might be looking into the possibility that a “foreign entity” might be involved.
    **************************************************************
    On Jill’s psychotic twin sister

    NYP

    The judge gave Wolfe sole custody of the couple’s son after finding that Khawam, a lawyer, repeatedly lied under oath and filed bogus domestic-violence and child-abuse claims against her husband after their one-year marriage began crumbling in 2009.

    That judge also found that Khawam routinely defied court orders to let the child see his dad and sent harassing e-mails to Wolfe’s friends and business partners that “excoriated Mr. Wolfe for being a horrible father and husband.”

    The judge blasted Khawam for giving false evidence, and noted that a court-ordered shrink had found her domestic-violence allegations to be “part of an ever-expanding set of sensational accusations . . . that are so numerous, so extraordinary and [so] distorted that they defy any common-sense view of reality.”

    The judge also noted that she “is a psychologically unstable person.”
    ******************************************
    And Broadwell’s Driver’s License turns up in a DC park.

    The woman revealed to have been carrying on an affair with former CIA Director David Petraeus lost her driver’s license in a Washington, D.C., park recently, sources tell U.S. News.

    A Maryland National Capital Park Police spokesman confirmed that a jogger found a North Carolina license in Rock Creek Park belonging to Paula Broadwell. Park Police planned to hold it for 90 days, per policy, and then send it back to the North Carolina Department of Transportation.

    The Park Police also alerted the FBI, says Bill Kellogg, a spokesman for the Park Police. The FBI did not initially return calls for comment on the report.

  6. votermom says:

  7. insanelysane says:

    myiq2xu, your prediction is dead on.
    The pendulum swings…

  8. swanspirit says:

    And the beat goes on

    Dear Mr. Kenny,

    Welcome to the wacky, world of Middle East politics, where the most benign gestures can bring the biggest headaches. I am sure you and your colleagues are scratching your heads in wonder. A creative dining hall worker at the Harvard Business School (HBS) made a lovely Israeli Mezze Station, offering the stressed-out Harvard Business students a splash of Middle East exotica while downing their humous and couscous – without dripping or dropping the slightest bit onto their Brooks Brothers suits and monogrammed clothing, of course.

    Suddenly, you felt like Facebook enemy number one. A Lebanese Harvard alumnae, Sara el-Yafi, posted a protest calling the Israeli buffet an act of cultural imperialism, offending hundreds of millions of Arabs by celebrating Israel’s stealing their foods just as those nasty Jews stole Arab lands.

    “That ‘Israeli Mezze Station” is the ultimate multicultural, multireligious ‘f*** you’ in
    the face of ALL Arabs at once from North Africa to the Levant,” the Jerusalem Post reported that el-Yafi wrote. “Israel already has a hard time keeping face in the Arab world for the way it has ‘appropriated’ its lands since 1948, don’t make it worse for them by having them appropriate other peoples’ foods as well.”
    http://blogs.jpost.com/content/harvards-humous-hullabaloo-palestinian-perversity-bullies-pc-appeasers

    • Karma says:

      Why doesn’t she just cook tasty treats and battle it out that way? And why hasn’t someone at freaking Harvard explained to her that freedom doesn’t mean, freedom from being offended?

      The special snowflake crowd is getting old, fast.

    • AniEm says:

      The phrase ‘preversity bullies’ really resonates. They’re not only Palestinian and they seem to be everywhere these days.

  9. votermom says:

  10. votermom says:

  11. westcoaster says:

    a few days after the election this song popped into my head, especially the line “deceit kills the light”. I was upset until that point, but now am able to look at the bigger picture. As Robert Kiysaki said a few days ago: “Sometimes you win… and sometimes you learn.”

  12. Karma says:

    A nice write up about what we all know about Obamacare. It isn’t really health care reform, it’s the health insurance profit bill. Maybe the Obots will finally realize they’ve been lied to.

    But I doubt it, even when the bill comes, they’ll blame racism, Reps, or basically anyone other than the Dems, MSM, and themselves.

    Anyway, it has some common sense ideas of how it can get worse.

    Election rhetoric shuns the big picture in favor of the bigger platitude. Now that The Show is over, we are left with the equivalent of a Sunday morning hangover following a binge of promises and lies. We leave the theatre of political spectacle on steroids for the real world of unstable economy, a globally and publicly subsidized financial sector, and increased costs of living on everything from food to education to health-care; outpacing declining median incomes. The average cost for health insurance for a family is $15,745 per year vs. a median income of $50,502, or about half post-tax take-home pay.

    http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2012-11-13/guest-post-real-danger-%E2%80%9Cobamacare%E2%80%9D-insurance-company-takeover-health-care

  13. DM says:

    If Romney had been more aggressive in attacking Obama on some issues that might indeed have won him some more votes,

    The only way that Romney could have changed the election is if he had repudiated GWB’S economic policies in debate 2- that was impossible because it would have taken away the support from the Repblican establishment.

    • insanelysane says:

      IN the 2nd debate ( or maybe 3rd?)There was a question to Romney only ( !!!) that asked “How are you different from GWB?”
      He laid out at least 4 major issues where he is NOT LIKE GWB…

      Immediately thought how much Bronco is exactly like GWB. A proven record of GWB policy on civil libs, war, drones, banks, corps, vouchers for school in DC,whistle blowers, and now, throwing CIA under the bus with Valerie Plame and Joe Wilson/ Petraeus.

      • angienc says:

        It was the 2nd debate (Townhall) & the question was a total set up. Just goes to show though (1) how badly the MSM covered what Romney was actually saying and (2) how most people Monday-morning quarterbacking that Romney should have done A or B don’t know what they’re talking about because 9 times out of 10 what they say he *should* have done,he actually did do.

        • DM says:

          It may seem like Sunday quarterback, and you may disagree with me, but that’s how I saw it at the time. I also felt that McCain needed to distance himself from GWB. People compare all the time when making their decisions. Obama is not a Republican, and he milked that for all it is worth.

  14. votermom says:

  15. votermom says:

    Saw someone tweeting these – I remember them from when I was a kid.
    https://twitter.com/search/realtime?q=%23CowEconomics101&src=hash

  16. votermom says:

    ok gnight all. Can;t wait for what new farce tomorrow brings in lOlmerika

  17. yttik says:

    Well, I’ve just waged a battle against my school and my child’s teacher. Seriously the kid’s homework asks “what’s wrong with the Republican party?” and “What demographic do they primarily serve?” So I wrote, “apparently not teachers who lack the moral fortitude to resist indoctrinating children onto the Dem plantation??”

    • leslie says:

      Wow!! yttik That is simply beyond the pale. i’d take her out and find another school. (if I could) Let them look for funding from another source. Not my child. (I actually did that, but it was due to the teacher tormenting another child in my daughter’s classroom.)

    • swanspirit says:

      I would be on the phone to the principal and the superintendent and the news

      • Somebody says:

        I would contact the news and the elected school board. Don’t bother with the principal or superintendent they are bureaucrats, they’ll take a report and file it in the circular file.

        Your elected school board members are your representation. The media is just to light a little fire under them. Better yet, I assure you some in the national media such as Fox would love to pick up a little story like that.

        • leslie says:

          Seriously, I took it to the principal when I found out about what my daughters teacher was doing and although the principal tried to sweep it under the rug, I threatened to go to the school board and the local newspaper, and he was more willing to arrange a meeting with the teacher and other parents. Sadly, There were only 2 parent who showed u,. but we demanded the teacher be replaced. Of course she wasn’t, and, ultimately, we both took our kids – all four of them out of that school. The teacher was “retired” at the end of the school year.but by that time, they were short 4 kids and 2 very active & involved parents. (I spent much of the rest of that school year sitting outside the teacher’s classroom to monitor the happenings.) It was exhausting, but she never tormented another child that year. I can’t imagine how the previous years’ kids were treated.

    • Karma says:

      Critical thinking skills are soooo 20th Century. I let the media inspire class assignments for my students. Baaah. /s

      *Watch out the sheep are loud.

    • votermom says:

      Holy moly. I agree with Somebody – contact the news!

  18. DeniseVB says:

    LOL … Virginia now has a petition to secede ! Our local news is covering it at 11. Silly kids, but hey, VA has the Pentagon, Marines, Army, Air Force, NASA, a Master Jet Base and a fleet of ships and ships that go under water ! Try and stop us Obama /sarc.

    Of course, some spoil sport put up a petition to strip all the signers of secession petitions of their citizenship then throw them out of the country.

    Made my day 😉

    • DandyTiger says:

      I’m going to petition to be king of the new country of Virginia.

    • angienc says:

      You don’t “petition” the US government to “allow” your state to secede — you petition your state government to secede from the USA & if the decision on the state level is made to secede,you INFORM the US government that your state is seceding — really, short of force, the Federal government has no say in the matter. So, basically, the people who want to secede from the USA don’t have the basic concept of how the relationship between Federal/State government works (not, btw, that Obama or anyone in the MSM does either).

      But dumber still are the idiots who filed a petition asking Obama to “strip” US citizenship from those who signed such petitions– seriously where the fuck do they get the idea that a POTUS can strip citizenship from a person and even if he could (as if he’s a king who can banish a subject from his kingdom) where in holy hell did they get the idea that petitioning the government is a reason to lose one’s citizenship? For the love of God, have they no idea that petitioning the government is the bedrock of the First Amendment? Really, at least the morons filing the petitions to secede only have made what basically amounts to a procedural mistake and their petitions can at least be viewed as a “protest” unlike these idiots who obviously have no idea whatsoever as to what type of government we have, the basic principles embodied in the Constitution or the powers of same.

      No wonder this country is in such a mess.

  19. swanspirit says:

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