How guilty is he?
Stay tuned and find out. The chances of him being acquitted on all charges are slim and none, and slim has been disqualified. He has admitted to several of the less-serious charges against him. There is no way that a military judge is gonna let him skate.
The real issue the most serious charge against him – “aiding the enemy”. If he is convicted of that charge he could get life in prison. In his case that means spending the rest of his days as a private in the army stationed in a cell at Ft. Leavenworth. Of course a president could pardon him or commute some or all of his sentence.
For policy reasons he’s gonna get a harsh penalty – probably a minimum of 20 years. The government doesn’t want its disgruntled minions going rogue with classified information so they will stomp all over Manning to make that point.
I’m guessing that Edward Snowden will be watching this case very closely. So will Julian Assange. Manning could potentially get his sentence considerably reduced if he were to testify against the Wikileaks founder.
I don’t know if Manning will be sentenced today. I never participated in any courts-martial so I am unsure of procedure.
What do you think?