Or maybe I should say tomahawks:
When we first put freshman Sen. Elizabeth Warren on our rankings of the 10 Democrats most likely to wind up as the party’s presidential nominee in 2016, many people scoffed.
But, a new Quinnipiac poll proves why Warren would be formidable in 2016 if she decided to run. Using a feeling thermometer — 0 meaning you feel totally cold about a politician, 100 meaning you feel warmly (aka) strong favorably toward a pol — Quinnipiac tested the majority of major national figures.
Warren finished third — behind only New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie (53.1 degrees) and Hillary Clinton (52.1 degrees). She finished ahead of, among others, President Obama, Florida Sen. Marco Rubio, Texas Sen. Ted Cruz and Vice President Joe Biden.
Here’s why the thermometer matters — and matters for Warren in particular. It’s a measure of passion, which is, of course, the sine qua non of politics. While passion isn’t everything — fundraising matters, organization matters — it’s hard to get elected to anything without passionate supporters.
And, Warren quite clearly evokes that passion. Need examples beyond the poll? Warren collected more than $42 million for her 2012 Senate campaign, a massive sum that is indicative of the passion — and national following — that Warren evokes. Then there is the speech she gave at the 2012 Democratic National Convention, which, if you forgot, was among the best received addresses of the gathering.
You can ignore all those stories about Hillary Clinton being a sure thing for the nomination in 2016. Hillary has a lot of enemies in the Democratic party. That is the (mostly) untold story of 2008 – how the Democratic establishment sandbagged her by secretly backing Obama. They would love to do it to her again. (The Borgias would fit right in with today’s Democratic party.)
The media hates Hillary too. Just wait. If (when) she runs the knives will come out.
Elizabeth Warren may or may not run. If she runs she may not be the ringer. But a woman challenger to Hillary would negate any theme of “It’s time for a woman” and Warren is popular with the activist base of the party.
Hillary is still the front-runner. She remains popular with the voting public. Most of us here were Hillary supporters back in 2008 but many of us have been disappointed, disenchanted and/or disgusted with her since then.
I’m pretty sure Hillary will run. Beyond that, I dunno yet. It’s a long road to November 2016. A lot can and will happen between now and then.
(H/T Legal Insurrection)