To understand why this tweet is so funny, here is Don Surber from back in July:
“Trump the Press” made its Kindle debut today — get it here — and an entire chapter is devoted to election forecaster Nate Silver. Not because he got the nomination wrong — giving Trump a 2 percent chance last September even after Trump had been ahead for every day for two months.
What earned Silver a rare chapter all his own was that he kept doubling down, refusing to learn from his many, many mistakes. Even as late as April, Silver said Trump would fall short of the delegates needed to win on a first ballot and therefore Republicans would nominate someone else.
None of his nonsensical predicts were based on his vaunted computer program that designed to forecast elections. Instead he was obstinate and caught up in a crazy Never Trump frenzy. But Silver has learned his lesson.
No, he hasn’t. Nate Silver is back to predicting that Hillary has a 75% chance of victory.
The biggest problem I see with most current polls is that they are using 2012 as a turn-out model, but this is a different election and Obama isn’t running. Polling doesn’t show the enthusiasm gap – very few Democrats are excited about voting for Hillary, and black people are unlikely to turn out in record numbers the way they did for Obama.
Trump, on the other hand, has lots of enthusiastic supporters.
5 more days.