Trump sure is popular for an unpopular President, ain’t he?
One month before before she is set to give birth to her second child, Lara Trump came here to kick off the 2020 Women for Trump coalition.
Planting a flag, or at least an olive branch, in some of the least Trump-friendly terrain in the key Keystone State: suburban Philadelphia.
Poised, witty, and sharply on message, President Trump’s daughter-in-law is a natural in a position she says is far removed from her modest upbringing. “I grew up in a middle-class family in North Carolina, and I couldn’t have ever imagined that I would be a part of anything like this,” she told me.
Her job is both simple and complicated: Keeping the old and persuading the new female voters for her father-in-law, who, to be frank, has a woman problem. The foundation of his base has been and continues to be men, explained Jeff Brauer, political science professor at Keystone State College, “Particularly married men, who voted for Trump nearly 20 points higher than Clinton in 2016.”
“These suburbs have a strong demographic of married women who tend to vote Republican, but are willing to vote Democratic for the right candidates. So their votes must be earned,” said Brauer.
The strongest message for married women is probably an economic one: This demographic knows firsthand the struggles of maintaining a career and raising a family, especially to give their children more opportunities than they had.
“The message should be all about the booming economy, especially low unemployment/high job opportunities, increasing wages/salaries, tax cuts, and the ability to retire with the growth of 401(k)s,” said Brauer, “They need to be convinced their families and children will have a better economic life with a second Trump term.”
If the Trump team can successfully make that argument then perhaps these women will overlook the president’s foibles and their disparities with him said Brauer. “It is an effort worth undertaking.”
I refuse to believe the polls.
I think a lot of people out there like Trump more than they admit because they are responding to the constant media drumbeat of “Orange man bad! Orange man bad!” Anyone who openly supports Trump is subject to ostracism, ridicule, doxing, accusations of racism, sexism, homophobia, and/or xenophobia, vandalism of their property, and the very real possibility of losing their job or even being physically attacked.
So they tell friends, co-workers, neighbors, and pollsters that “Orange man bad” like they are supposed to do.
But in November 2020, just like in November 2016, they will go into the voting booth, make sure nobody is watching, and cast their votes for Donald J. Trump.
And once again the pollsters will be scratching their heads while the Democrats weep, wail, and gnash their teeth.
So remember: Vote like nobody is watching.