So this is what an actual bellwether actually looks like. Good to know. I had to look up the etymology because we hear it so often, especially in politics. The Florida Special Election held today is supposed to be some kind of bellwether, something that portends things to come. Dems were putting on a good show originally, cobbling together random and branded leftists balloons like Climate Change and putting a woman on the ticket, doing their early voting thing. You know, all the shit you saw them do in 2012 hoping to eke out a win with the ole slap-dazzle routine.
The Tampa Bay media brought in the drums at the top of the morning yesterday to signal the righteousness of Dems causes and to trumpet the skill in setting things up to…well, it didn’t work out the way they intended. But they DID set it up just so, just like they’d been taught. The article makes it look so probable!
Key findings from the survey include:
Sink has amassed a large lead during the early voting period, getting 52% among those who have already voted to just 45% for Jolly. We find that 60% of those who say they will vote have done so already, putting Jolly in a position where he will have to make up a lot of ground on election day.
-Sink is overcoming the district’s Republican registration advantage by overwhelmingly winning independent voters. She is getting 61% with them to only 27% for Jolly.
-69% of voters in the district say that it’s important for their new member in Congress to address the problem of climate change, including 44% who say it’s ‘very important.’ The joint ad campaign the LCV Victory Fund and the Sierra Club have run highlighting Jolly’s lack of interest in addressing the issue has really worked to Sink’s advantage- voters trust her more than Jolly to address climate change by a 17 point margin, 48/31.
And among voters who say they consider addressing climate change to be ‘very important,’ she leads by 62 points at 77/15.
Whoa, with those numbers, no way Jolly could win, right? But he did. Because, well:
Sink and her allies attacked Jolly for his lobbying career and contended he wanted to undermine Social Security and Medicare, essential programs to the district’s older voters.
But Jolly and outside Republicans hammered away at Sink’s support of the Affordable Care Act, and had an unpopular president in their corner as well.
Sink had the initial lead Tuesday when votes came in from mail-in ballots and early voting. The lead almost instantly evaporated as results came in from Election Day, when Republicans traditionally fare better.
More than 125,000 voters turned in ballots before the polls opened Tuesday. Of those, more than 53,000 were Republicans and more than 48,000 were Democrats.
Strategy, man. It’s not the only game in town. Let’s hope this really is a bellwether race. Quite frankly, we need more goats in drag up in Washington. If only….
This is an open thread. Let your freak flag fly. Oh, and more cowbell, people!